Super League · Regular Season - 2 · 1 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne

St. Jakob-Park, Basel

The model makes it 67% FC Basel 1893, 19% draw, 14% Lausanne — fair odds of 1.49, 5.26 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).

Expected goals: FC Basel 1893 2.39, Lausanne 1.04.

Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, under 2.5: 33%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

59%
Both teams to score
67%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-1 10%2-0 9%1-1 8%

Head-to-head: FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne

  • 1 March 2026Lausanne 1–2 FC Basel 1893Super League
  • 14 December 2025FC Basel 1893 0–0 LausanneSuper League
  • 26 October 2025Lausanne 5–1 FC Basel 1893Super League
  • 14 May 2025Lausanne 2–3 FC Basel 1893Super League
  • 27 April 2025FC Basel 1893 3–2 LausanneSchweizer Cup
  • 16 February 2025FC Basel 1893 1–1 LausanneSuper League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FC Basel 1893 the highest probability at 67%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.39 expected goals for FC Basel 1893 against 1.04 for Lausanne. FC Basel 1893's attack/defence rating is 0.77/1.11 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.67/1.64 for Lausanne.