FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Basel 1893 0-1 Lausanne.
Before kick-off the model made it 67% FC Basel 1893, 19% draw, 14% Lausanne — fair odds of 1.49, 5.26 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Basel 1893 at 67% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Jonas OmlinG
- 6Keigo TsunemotoD
- 24Flavius DaniliucD
- 55Akpe VictoryD
- 3Nicolas VouillozD
- 5MetinhoM
- 8Ludwig ThorellM
- 11Kazeem OlaigbeM
- 10Xherdan ShaqiriM
- 7Philip OteleM
- 9Žan CelarF
- 22Leo LeroyM
- 18Asane SowF
- 17Aaron MaloudaF
- 13Mirko SalviG
- 4Bećir OmeragićD
- 27Kevin RüeggD
- 29Moussa CisséD
- 44Jonas HarderM
- 23Albian AjetiF
- 90Melvin MastilG
- 2Brandon SoppyD
- 14Kevin MouangaD
- 71Abdou Karim SowD
- 18Morgan PoatyD
- 10Olivier CustodioM
- 8Jamie RocheM
- 51Ibrahim Bah MendesM
- 27Beyatt LekoueiryM
- 11Nathan Butler-OyedejiM
- 78Omar JannehF
- 80Sekou KoneM
- 7Alban AjdiniF
- 1Thomas CastellaG
- 3Tyler FredricsonD
- 5Dircssi NgonzoD
- 6Theo BergvallD
- 91Florent MolletM
- 49Ilija DespotovicF
- 17Seydou TraoreF
Form going into FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne
FC Basel 1893
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Servette FC25 July 2026
Lausanne
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Grasshoppers25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Basel 1893 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Lausanne | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne
- 1 March 2026Lausanne 1–2 FC Basel 1893Super League
- 14 December 2025FC Basel 1893 0–0 LausanneSuper League
- 26 October 2025Lausanne 5–1 FC Basel 1893Super League
- 14 May 2025Lausanne 2–3 FC Basel 1893Super League
- 27 April 2025FC Basel 1893 3–2 LausanneSchweizer Cup
Leading scorers: FC Basel 1893 and Lausanne
FC Basel 1893
GoalsAssists
- Ž. Celar61
- A. Sow34
- X. Shaqiri31
Lausanne
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Lausanne won 1–0 at FC Basel 1893. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Basel 1893 at 67% and given a win for Lausanne 14%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 7 matches like this one. The goal: F. Mollet 90+1' for Lausanne. On expected goals it finished 1.14–0.46.