FC Vaduz vs FC St. Gallen Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Vaduz 2-3 FC St. Gallen.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% FC Vaduz, 25% draw, 40% FC St. Gallen — fair odds of 2.86, 4.00 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC St. Gallen at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Vaduz vs FC St. Gallen
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Benjamin BüchelG
- 4Nicolas HaslerD
- 6Denis SimaniD
- 5Liridon BerishaD
- 29Malik SawadogoD
- 17Julian StarkM
- 20Luca MackM
- 10Juan CabreraM
- 11Lutfi DalipiM
- 39Dejan SorgićF
- 9Marcel MonsbergerF
- 19Dejan ĐokićF
- 28Miloš CocićM
- 23Mats HammerichM
- 27Niklas LangD
- 30Mattia WalkerM
- 38Nico FöllmiG
- 14Mischa BeeliD
- 7Dominik SchwizerM
- 22Mischa EberhardM
- 25Lukas WatkowiakG
- 74Joel RuizD
- 4Jozo StanićD
- 36Chima OkorojiD
- 7Christian WitzigM
- 16Lukas GörtlerM
- 10Lukas DaschnerM
- 11Carlo BoukhalfaM
- 20Leon FrokajM
- 9Andrin HunzikerF
- 14Aliou BaldeF
- 28Hugo VandermerschD
- 64Mihailo StevanovićM
- 23Betim FazlijiM
- 31Diego BesioF
- 47Enoch OwusuM
- 35Bela DumrathG
- 68Mostafa HeydariD
- 63Corsin KonietzkeM
Form going into FC Vaduz vs FC St. Gallen
FC Vaduz
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Atlètic Club d'Escaldes30 July 2026
- L1-2away to FC Lugano26 July 2026
- W4-0Atlètic Club d'Escaldes23 July 2026
FC St. Gallen
All competitions we cover
- L0-5away to Benfica30 July 2026
- W2-1FC Zurich26 July 2026
- W2-1Benfica23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FC Vaduz | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | FC St. Gallen | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Vaduz vs FC St. Gallen
- 13 July 2024FC Vaduz 0–1 FC St. GallenFriendlies Clubs
- 24 April 2021FC St. Gallen 1–0 FC VaduzSuper League
- 20 February 2021FC Vaduz 2–1 FC St. GallenSuper League
- 20 January 2021FC St. Gallen 2–0 FC VaduzSuper League
- 27 September 2020FC Vaduz 0–1 FC St. GallenSuper League
Leading scorers: FC Vaduz and FC St. Gallen
FC Vaduz
GoalsAssists
- M. Monsberger61
- L. Dalipi59
- Juan Cabrera40
FC St. Gallen
GoalsAssists
- A. Balde31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC St. Gallen won 3–2 at FC Vaduz. The model had made a win for FC St. Gallen its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Aliou Balde 1' for FC St. Gallen, Marcel Monsberger 11' for FC Vaduz, Juan Cabrera 55' for FC Vaduz, Enoch Owusu 72' for FC St. Gallen, Enoch Owusu 87' for FC St. Gallen. On expected goals it finished 1.97–2.12.