FC Vaduz
vs
FC St. Gallen
The model makes it 35% FC Vaduz, 25% draw, 40% FC St. Gallen — fair odds of 2.86, 4.00 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: FC Vaduz 1.47, FC St. Gallen 1.61.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Head-to-head: FC Vaduz vs FC St. Gallen
- 13 July 2024FC Vaduz 0–1 FC St. GallenFriendlies Clubs
- 24 April 2021FC St. Gallen 1–0 FC VaduzSuper League
- 20 February 2021FC Vaduz 2–1 FC St. GallenSuper League
- 20 January 2021FC St. Gallen 2–0 FC VaduzSuper League
- 27 September 2020FC Vaduz 0–1 FC St. GallenSuper League
- 13 May 2017FC St. Gallen 2–0 FC VaduzSuper League
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC St. Gallen the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for FC Vaduz against 1.61 for FC St. Gallen. FC Vaduz's attack/defence rating is 0.52/1.29 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.89/1.5 for FC St. Gallen.