Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 2 · 2 August 2026, 15:30 UTC

Slask Wroclaw vs Raków Częstochowa

Tarczynski Arena

The model makes it 66% Slask Wroclaw, 21% draw, 13% Raków Częstochowa — fair odds of 1.52, 4.76 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).

Expected goals: Slask Wroclaw 2.05, Raków Częstochowa 0.79.

Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

48%
Both teams to score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-0 12%1-0 12%1-1 10%

Head-to-head: Slask Wroclaw vs Raków Częstochowa

  • 3 December 2025Slask Wroclaw 1–2 Raków CzęstochowaCup
  • 25 April 2025Raków Częstochowa 3–0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • 26 October 2024Slask Wroclaw 0–0 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
  • 25 May 2024Raków Częstochowa 1–2 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • 3 December 2023Slask Wroclaw 1–1 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
  • 10 March 2023Raków Częstochowa 4–1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Slask Wroclaw the highest probability at 66%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.05 expected goals for Slask Wroclaw against 0.79 for Raków Częstochowa. Slask Wroclaw's attack/defence rating is 0.88/0.77 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.73/1.23 for Raków Częstochowa.