Legia Warszawa
vs
Zaglebie Lubin
The model makes it 58% Legia Warszawa, 23% draw, 19% Zaglebie Lubin — fair odds of 1.72, 4.35 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Legia Warszawa 1.94, Zaglebie Lubin 1.02.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin
- 17 April 2026Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 19 October 2025Zaglebie Lubin 3–1 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
- 8 December 2024Zaglebie Lubin 0–3 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
- 20 July 2024Legia Warszawa 2–0 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 25 May 2024Legia Warszawa 2–1 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 3 December 2023Zaglebie Lubin 0–3 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Legia Warszawa the highest probability at 58%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.94 expected goals for Legia Warszawa against 1.02 for Zaglebie Lubin. Legia Warszawa's attack/defence rating is 0.8/1.03 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.71/1.28 for Zaglebie Lubin.