Super League · Regular Season - 2 · 2 August 2026, 14:30 UTC

FC Sion vs FC Luzern

Stade de Tourbillon, Sion

The model makes it 57% FC Sion, 22% draw, 21% FC Luzern — fair odds of 1.75, 4.55 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).

Expected goals: FC Sion 2.14, FC Luzern 1.26.

Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%, under 2.5: 34%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

64%
Both teams to score
66%
Over 2.5 goals
34%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-1 10%1-1 9%2-0 8%

Head-to-head: FC Sion vs FC Luzern

  • 7 February 2026FC Sion 0–0 FC LuzernSuper League
  • 24 January 2026FC Sion 1–1 FC LuzernSuper League
  • 4 October 2025FC Luzern 3–3 FC SionSuper League
  • 23 February 2025FC Luzern 2–1 FC SionSuper League
  • 10 November 2024FC Sion 4–2 FC LuzernSuper League
  • 3 August 2024FC Luzern 1–0 FC SionSuper League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FC Sion the highest probability at 57%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.14 expected goals for FC Sion against 1.26 for FC Luzern. FC Sion's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.18 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.76/1.69 for FC Luzern.