FC Sion vs FC Luzern Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Sion 3-0 FC Luzern.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% FC Sion, 22% draw, 21% FC Luzern — fair odds of 1.75, 4.55 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Sion at 57% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Sion vs FC Luzern
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Anthony RacioppiG
- 14Numa LavanchyD
- 5Noé SowD
- 17Jan KronigD
- 20Nias HeftiD
- 7Ylyas ChouarefM
- 88Ali KabacalmanM
- 8BaltazarM
- 77Donat RrudhaniM
- 13Winsley Boteli MokangoF
- 33Rilind NivokaziF
- 29Théo BerdayesF
- 9Josias LukembilaF
- 19Franck SurdezF
- 37Fode SyllaM
- 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
- 12Francesco RubertoG
- 21Liam Scott ChipperfieldM
- 38Ryan KesslerD
- 22Adrien LlukesM
- 1Simon SimoniG
- 20Pius DornD
- 5Stefan KneževićD
- 21Loïc LüthiD
- 22Rúben DantasD
- 24Tyron OwusuM
- 6Leonardo BertoneM
- 10Lucas SilvaM
- 11Matteo Di GiustoM
- 71Sascha MeyerF
- 16Oscar KabwitF
- 80Mio ZimmermannM
- 27Lars VilligerF
- 14Andrejs CigaņiksD
- 7Aurelio OehlersF
- 13Bung Hua FreimannD
- 63Raphael RadtkeG
- 3Jesper LofgrenD
- 28Ronaldo Dantas FernandesM
- 15Nando ToggenburgerF
Form going into FC Sion vs FC Luzern
FC Sion
All competitions we cover
- W4-0Bate Borisov30 July 2026
- L2-4away to BSC Young Boys26 July 2026
- D1-1away to Bate Borisov23 July 2026
FC Luzern
All competitions we cover
- L1-3FC Thun25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Sion | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17 | +7 | 22 |
| 8 | FC Luzern | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Sion vs FC Luzern
- 7 February 2026FC Sion 0–0 FC LuzernSuper League
- 24 January 2026FC Sion 1–1 FC LuzernSuper League
- 4 October 2025FC Luzern 3–3 FC SionSuper League
- 23 February 2025FC Luzern 2–1 FC SionSuper League
- 10 November 2024FC Sion 4–2 FC LuzernSuper League
Leading scorers: FC Sion and FC Luzern
FC Sion
GoalsAssists
- Winsley Boteli Mokango64
- J. Lukembila34
FC Luzern
GoalsAssists
- D. Mikołajewski43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Sion beat FC Luzern 3–0. The model had made a win for FC Sion its most likely outcome, at 57%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Donat Rrudhani 9' for FC Sion, Théo Berdayes 70' for FC Sion, Josias Lukembila 77' for FC Sion. Sent off: Tyron Owusu (FC Luzern) 3'. On expected goals it finished 2.83–0.50.