FC Thun vs Lausanne Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Thun 0-0 Lausanne.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% FC Thun, 29% draw, 34% Lausanne — fair odds of 2.70, 3.45 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Thun at 37% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 2,313 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Thun vs Lausanne
Line-ups
- 1N. SteffenG
- 37L. DahlerD
- 5N. BurgyD
- 19J. BamertD
- 18T. StrannegardD
- 30N. MaierM
- 16J. RothM
- 13N. ZoukitM
- 70N. ReichmuthM
- 80S. LengenF
- 96B. LabeauF
- 25T. SpycherG
- 23M. BurkiD
- 54L. PassavantD
- 47F. FehrD
- 14M. KaitM
- 8F. Saiz
- 21D. DerbaciM
- 26N. ChristofferssonF
- 9F. DursunF
- 90M. MastilG
- 2B. SoppyD
- 71K. SowD
- 18M. PoatyD
- 6T. BergvallD
- 80S. KoneM
- 10O. CustodioM
- 11N. Butler-OyedejiM
- 91F. MolletM
- 9E. MolebeM
- 78O. JannehF
- 1T. CastellaG
- 31N. CozzaD
- 20H. AbdallahD
- 22T. CordierD
- 5D. NgonzoD
- 88K. KoindrediM
- 47S. N'DiayeM
- 7A. AjdiniF
- 17S. TraoreF
Form going into FC Thun vs Lausanne
FC Thun
- W4-3away to FC St. Gallen30 August 2026
- D2-2Lech Poznan27 August 2026
- L0-7away to Lech Poznan20 August 2026
- L2-3away to Vikingur Reykjavik13 August 2026
- L2-4away to FC Basel 18939 August 2026
Lausanne
- L2-3FC Zurich29 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Thun conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for FC Thun had three goals or more.
- FC Thun failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Thun | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
| 12 | Lausanne | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Thun vs Lausanne
- 2 September 2026FC Thun 0–0 LausanneSuper League
- 12 February 2026FC Thun 5–1 LausanneSuper League
- 30 November 2025Lausanne 2–1 FC ThunSuper League
- 3 August 2025FC Thun 2–1 LausanneSuper League
- 20 March 2025Lausanne 2–2 FC ThunFriendlies Clubs
- 5 January 2025Lausanne 3–0 FC ThunFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: FC Thun and Lausanne
FC Thun
- B. Labeau3 goals
Lausanne
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.