Grasshoppers
vs
FC St. Gallen
Super League prediction
The model makes it 32% Grasshoppers, 24% draw, 44% FC St. Gallen — fair odds of 3.13, 4.17 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Grasshoppers 1.50, FC St. Gallen 1.77.
Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Grasshoppers
- L1-2away to Servette FC8 August 2026
- L1-4FC Lugano2 August 2026
- D1-1away to Lausanne25 July 2026
FC St. Gallen
- D2-2FC Luzern9 August 2026
- W3-2away to FC Vaduz2 August 2026
- W2-1FC Zurich26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 3 | FC St. Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Grasshoppers vs FC St. Gallen
- 14 February 2026FC St. Gallen 0–0 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 21 December 2025Grasshoppers 1–2 FC St. GallenSuper League
- 25 October 2025FC St. Gallen 5–0 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 22 May 2025Grasshoppers 2–0 FC St. GallenSuper League
- 8 March 2025FC St. Gallen 3–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 10 November 2024Grasshoppers 1–2 FC St. GallenSuper League
Leading scorers
Grasshoppers
No league goals recorded yet.
FC St. Gallen
- E. Owusu2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Grasshoppers carry a model rating of 6.34 against 6.57 for FC St. Gallen. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Grasshoppers D-L-L; FC St. Gallen W-W-D.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.50 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.77 for FC St. Gallen. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Grasshoppers rate 0.51 in attack and 1.45 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC St. Gallen rate 0.87 and 1.56.
That points to 63% for over two and a half goals and 65% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 456 correct results out of 941 settled predictions (48%), with 88 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC St. Gallen the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.5 expected goals for Grasshoppers against 1.77 for FC St. Gallen. Grasshoppers's attack/defence rating is 0.51/1.45 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.87/1.56 for FC St. Gallen.