FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC Luzern 2-1 FC Vaduz.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% FC Luzern, 27% draw, 31% FC Vaduz — fair odds of 2.38, 3.70 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Luzern at 42% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz
Line-ups
- 30K. LeticaG
- 22R. Dantas FernandesD
- 13B. H. Freimann
- 46B. FreimannD
- 14A. CiganiksD
- 24T. OwusuM
- 80M. Zimmermann
- 6L. BertoneM
- 11M. Di GiustoM
- 19D. MikolajewskiF
- 18F. Bongeli
- 1S. SimoniG
- 5S. KnezevicD
- 21L. LuthiD
- 29L. WinklerM
- 10L. SilvaM
- 7A. OehlersF
- 15N. ToggenburgerF
- 71S. MeyerF
- 17S. Wyss
- 25L. SchaffranG
- 4N. HaslerD
- 6D. SimaniD
- 5L. BerishaD
- 7D. Schwizer
- 17J. StarkM
- 20L. MackM
- 10J. CabreraM
- 28M. CocicM
- 11L. DalipiF
- 9M. MonsbergerF
- 1B. BuchelG
- 27N. LangD
- 14M. BeeliD
- 29M. SawadogoD
- 22M. EberhardM
- 30M. WalkerM
- 23M. HammerichM
- 19D. DjokicF
- 18D. KasperF
Form going into FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz
FC Luzern
- D1-1away to Servette FC29 August 2026
FC Vaduz
- W5-2Grasshoppers30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Luzern | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | FC Vaduz | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz
- 2 September 2026FC Luzern 2–1 FC VaduzSuper League
- 6 September 2024FC Vaduz 1–0 FC LuzernFriendlies Clubs
- 2 July 2022FC Luzern 4–1 FC VaduzFriendlies Clubs
- 1 May 2021FC Vaduz 1–2 FC LuzernSuper League
- 24 February 2021FC Vaduz 1–1 FC LuzernSuper League
- 14 February 2021FC Luzern 4–0 FC VaduzSuper League
Leading scorers: FC Luzern and FC Vaduz
FC Luzern
- D. Mikołajewski4 goals3 assists
FC Vaduz
- M. Monsberger4 goals1 assist
- Juan Cabrera4 goals
- L. Dalipi3 goals8 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.