FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC St. Gallen 2-1 FC Zurich.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% FC St. Gallen, 22% draw, 48% FC Zurich — fair odds of 3.33, 4.55 and 2.08. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Zurich at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Lawrence Ati ZigiG
- 26Tom GaalD
- 4Jozo StanićD
- 36Chima OkorojiD
- 28Hugo VandermerschM
- 16Lukas GörtlerM
- 10Lukas DaschnerM
- 20Leon FrokajM
- 64Mihailo StevanovićM
- 7Christian WitzigF
- 14Aliou BaldeF
- 9Andrin HunzikerF
- 31Diego BesioF
- 47Enoch OwusuM
- 63Corsin KonietzkeM
- 74Joel RuizD
- 35Bela DumrathG
- 68Mostafa HeydariD
- 11Carlo BoukhalfaM
- 23Betim FazlijiM
- 13Heinz LindnerG
- 3Selmin HodzaD
- 2Lindrit KamberiD
- 27Ilan SauterD
- 43Neil VolkenD
- 21Leandro SchödlerM
- 23Valon BerishaM
- 7Bledian KrasniqiM
- 8Livano ComenenciaM
- 11Umeh EmmanuelM
- 19Philippe KenyF
- 38Miguel ReichmuthM
- 17Kevin SpadanudaM
- 18Mohamed BangouraM
- 42Alexander HackD
- 49Din RamicF
- 60Tyrese PinthusG
- 44Sebastian WalkerD
- 14Nevio Di GiustoM
- 34Cosimo FioriniM
Form going into FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich
FC St. Gallen
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Benfica23 July 2026
FC Zurich
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC St. Gallen | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Zurich | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich
- 6 April 2026FC St. Gallen 2–1 FC ZurichSuper League
- 6 December 2025FC St. Gallen 1–2 FC ZurichSuper League
- 27 September 2025FC Zurich 3–1 FC St. GallenSuper League
- 17 May 2025FC St. Gallen 3–2 FC ZurichSuper League
- 9 February 2025FC Zurich 1–2 FC St. GallenSuper League
Leading scorers: FC St. Gallen and FC Zurich
FC St. Gallen
GoalsAssists
- A. Balde31
FC Zurich
GoalsAssists
- P. Keny51
- U. Emmanuel43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC St. Gallen beat FC Zurich 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Zurich at 48% and given a win for FC St. Gallen 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: U. Emmanuel 50' for FC Zurich, L. Gortler 70' for FC St. Gallen, A. Hunziker 74' for FC St. Gallen. On expected goals it finished 1.63–1.11.