FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich Super League prediction & result
Final score: FC St. Gallen 2-1 FC Zurich.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% FC St. Gallen, 22% draw, 48% FC Zurich — fair odds of 3.33, 4.55 and 2.08. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Zurich at 48% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Lawrence Ati ZigiG
- 26Tom GaalD
- 4Jozo StanićD
- 36Chima OkorojiD
- 28Hugo VandermerschM
- 16Lukas GörtlerM
- 10Lukas DaschnerM
- 20Leon FrokajM
- 64Mihailo StevanovićM
- 7Christian WitzigF
- 14Aliou BaldeF
- 9Andrin HunzikerF
- 31Diego BesioF
- 47Enoch OwusuM
- 63Corsin KonietzkeM
- 74Joel RuizD
- 35Bela DumrathG
- 68Mostafa HeydariD
- 11Carlo BoukhalfaM
- 23Betim FazlijiM
- 13Heinz LindnerG
- 3Selmin HodzaD
- 2Lindrit KamberiD
- 27Ilan SauterD
- 43Neil VolkenD
- 21Leandro SchödlerM
- 23Valon BerishaM
- 7Bledian KrasniqiM
- 8Livano ComenenciaM
- 11Umeh EmmanuelM
- 19Philippe KenyF
- 38Miguel ReichmuthM
- 17Kevin SpadanudaM
- 18Mohamed BangouraM
- 42Alexander HackD
- 49Din RamicF
- 60Tyrese PinthusG
- 44Sebastian WalkerD
- 14Nevio Di GiustoM
- 34Cosimo FioriniM
Form going into FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich
FC St. Gallen
- W2-1Benfica23 July 2026
FC Zurich
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC St. Gallen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
| 6 | FC Zurich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC St. Gallen vs FC Zurich
- 26 July 2026FC St. Gallen 2–1 FC ZurichSuper League
- 6 April 2026FC St. Gallen 2–1 FC ZurichSuper League
- 6 December 2025FC St. Gallen 1–2 FC ZurichSuper League
- 27 September 2025FC Zurich 3–1 FC St. GallenSuper League
- 17 May 2025FC St. Gallen 3–2 FC ZurichSuper League
- 9 February 2025FC Zurich 1–2 FC St. GallenSuper League
Leading scorers: FC St. Gallen and FC Zurich
FC St. Gallen
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
FC Zurich
- U. Emmanuel4 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.