26 July 2026, 15:30 UTC

FK Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc Czech Liga prediction & result

Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
Full time2 – 1

Final score: FK Jablonec 2-1 Sigma Olomouc.

Before kick-off the model made it 11% FK Jablonec, 18% draw, 71% Sigma Olomouc — fair odds of 9.09, 5.56 and 1.41. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Sigma Olomouc at 71% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
⚽L. Lurvinkassist: F. Krivak
15'
V. Sejk
⚽M. Cedidlaassist: R. Sedlacek
58'
60'
🔁F. Krivakout: D. Janosek
60'
🔁M. Soldoout: D. Tkac
65'
🔁J. Spacilout: J. Sip
⚽J. Suchanassist: S. Nebyla
67'
🔁L. Jawoout: F. Vecheta
70'
🔁J. Suchanout: F. Zorvan
70'
🔁R. Sedlacekout: N. Okeke
70'
J. Slama
72'
🔁V. Chanturishviliout: H. Ahl
80'
83'
🔁A. Ghaliout: M. Mikulenka
84'
🔁M. Beranout: J. Fiala
🔁D. Pavlovicout: F. Novak
84'
88'
J. Sip

Match stats — FK Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc

53%Possession47%
19Shots5
7On target2
10Corners0
1.34xG0.37

Goals against chances

FK Jablonec2 from 1.34 xGmore than the chances were worth
Sigma Olomouc1 from 0.37 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FK Jablonec 3-4-3
  • 99K. MihelakG
  • 18M. CedidlaD
  • 4N. TekijaškiD
  • 15D. PavlovićD
  • 13R. SedláčekM
  • 21M. PolidarM
  • 25S. NebylaM
  • 20J. SlámaM
  • 7V. TchanturishviliF
  • 10J. SuchanF
  • 44L. JawoF
Substitutes
  • 14D. SoučekD
  • 23E. SobolD
  • 6N. OkekeM
  • 57F. NovákD
  • 42M. MalenšekF
  • 22Roman HorákM
  • 1J. HanušG
  • 19J. ChramostaF
  • 16H. AhlM
Coach: Lubos Kozel
Sigma Olomouc 3-5-2
  • 91Jan KoutnýG
  • 2A. SyllaD
  • 21J. KrálD
  • 3L. LurvinkD
  • 14M. SoldoM
  • 8J. SpáčilM
  • 88P. BaráthM
  • 70A. GhaliM
  • 7M. BeranM
  • 10V. SejkF
  • 23F. KrivakF
Substitutes
  • 24D. TkáčM
  • 6J. ŠípM
  • 18J. FialaF
  • 20D. GrgićM
  • 98M. HruškaG
  • 39D. JanošekM
  • 33M. MalýD
  • 11H. MikaelssonF
  • 25M. MikulenkaF
Coach: Pavel Hapal

Form going into FK Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc

FK Jablonec

  • L2-3away to NK Varazdin23 July 2026

Sigma Olomouc

No earlier matches on record this season.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8FK Jablonec8413108+213
3Sigma Olomouc85121610+616

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FK Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc

  • 26 July 2026FK Jablonec 2–1 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 7 March 2026FK Jablonec 1–2 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 5 October 2025Sigma Olomouc 2–0 FK JablonecCzech Liga
  • 10 May 2025FK Jablonec 4–0 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 29 March 2025FK Jablonec 0–0 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 26 October 2024Sigma Olomouc 0–0 FK JablonecCzech Liga

Leading scorers: FK Jablonec and Sigma Olomouc

FK Jablonec

  • M. Cedidla3 goals

Sigma Olomouc

  • V. Sejk3 goals2 assists
  • A. Ghali3 goals1 assists
  • P. Baráth3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.