FK Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: FK Jablonec 2-1 Sigma Olomouc.
Before kick-off the model made it 11% FK Jablonec, 18% draw, 71% Sigma Olomouc — fair odds of 9.09, 5.56 and 1.41. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sigma Olomouc at 71% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FK Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 99K. MihelakG
- 18M. CedidlaD
- 4N. TekijaškiD
- 15D. PavlovićD
- 13R. SedláčekM
- 21M. PolidarM
- 25S. NebylaM
- 20J. SlámaM
- 7V. TchanturishviliF
- 10J. SuchanF
- 44L. JawoF
- 14D. SoučekD
- 23E. SobolD
- 6N. OkekeM
- 57F. NovákD
- 42M. MalenšekF
- 22Roman HorákM
- 1J. HanušG
- 19J. ChramostaF
- 16H. AhlM
- 91Jan KoutnýG
- 2A. SyllaD
- 21J. KrálD
- 3L. LurvinkD
- 14M. SoldoM
- 8J. SpáčilM
- 88P. BaráthM
- 70A. GhaliM
- 7M. BeranM
- 10V. SejkF
- 23F. KrivakF
- 24D. TkáčM
- 6J. ŠípM
- 18J. FialaF
- 20D. GrgićM
- 98M. HruškaG
- 39D. JanošekM
- 33M. MalýD
- 11H. MikaelssonF
- 25M. MikulenkaF
Form going into FK Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to NK Varazdin23 July 2026
Sigma Olomouc
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 20 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FK Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc
- 7 March 2026FK Jablonec 1–2 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
- 5 October 2025Sigma Olomouc 2–0 FK JablonecCzech Liga
- 10 May 2025FK Jablonec 4–0 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
- 29 March 2025FK Jablonec 0–0 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
- 26 October 2024Sigma Olomouc 0–0 FK JablonecCzech Liga
Leading scorers: FK Jablonec and Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Sigma Olomouc
GoalsAssists
- V. Sejk43
- A. Ghali41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FK Jablonec beat Sigma Olomouc 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Sigma Olomouc at 71% and given a win for FK Jablonec 11%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 9 matches like this one. The goals: L. Lurvink 9' for Sigma Olomouc, M. Cedidla 58' for FK Jablonec, J. Suchan 67' for FK Jablonec. On expected goals it finished 1.34–0.37.