Hradec Králové vs Pardubice Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Hradec Králové 2-1 Pardubice.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Hradec Králové, 23% draw, 52% Pardubice — fair odds of 4.00, 4.35 and 1.92. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Pardubice at 52% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hradec Králové vs Pardubice
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12Adam ZadražilG
- 7Jakub UhrinčaťD
- 5Filip ČihákD
- 25František ČechD
- 21Tomáš WiesnerM
- 16Vladimír DaridaM
- 11Samuel DancákM
- 26Daniel HorákM
- 10Mick van BurenF
- 19Tom SlončíkF
- 17Ondřej MihálikF
- 28Jakub KuceraM
- 58Adam VlkanovaM
- 27Daniel TrubačM
- 2David LudvicekD
- 18Marko RegžaF
- 1Patrik VízekG
- 20Matyas VagnerG
- 6Elione Fernandes NetoM
- 22Stepan PonikelskyM
- 30Aleš MandousG
- 43Jason NoslinD
- 6Marek IchaD
- 12Jan TrédlD
- 15Emmanuel GodwinM
- 19Michal HlavatýM
- 8Samuel ŠimekM
- 40Tobias BoledovicM
- 20Abdoull TankoF
- 17Václav DrchalF
- 10Vojtěch PatrákF
- 16Tomáš JelínekM
- 9Daniel SmékalF
- 35Victor SamuelF
- 90Giannis-Fivos BotosM
- 21Mouhamed Tidjane TraoréD
- 1Jáchym ŠerákG
- 44Simon BammensD
- 29Jiri HamzaD
- 92Bohdan SlyubykD
Form going into Hradec Králové vs Pardubice
Hradec Králové
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Tromso23 July 2026
Pardubice
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hradec Králové | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hradec Králové vs Pardubice
- 7 December 2025Pardubice 1–0 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 10 August 2025Hradec Králové 1–1 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 1 February 2025Hradec Králové 3–0 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 24 August 2024Pardubice 2–1 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 9 March 2024Hradec Králové 2–0 PardubiceCzech Liga
The result against the call
Hradec Králové beat Pardubice 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Pardubice at 52% and given a win for Hradec Králové 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Mick van Buren 44' for Hradec Králové, František Čech 56' for Hradec Králové, Tobias Boledovic 60' for Pardubice. On expected goals it finished 1.11–0.26.