Hradec Králové vs Pardubice Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Hradec Králové 2-1 Pardubice.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Hradec Králové, 23% draw, 52% Pardubice — fair odds of 4.00, 4.35 and 1.92. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Pardubice at 52% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hradec Králové vs Pardubice
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12Adam ZadražilG
- 7Jakub UhrinčaťD
- 5Filip ČihákD
- 25František ČechD
- 21Tomáš WiesnerM
- 16Vladimír DaridaM
- 11Samuel DancákM
- 26Daniel HorákM
- 10Mick van BurenF
- 19Tom SlončíkF
- 17Ondřej MihálikF
- 28Jakub KuceraM
- 58Adam VlkanovaM
- 27Daniel TrubačM
- 2David LudvicekD
- 18Marko RegžaF
- 1Patrik VízekG
- 20Matyas VagnerG
- 6Elione Fernandes NetoM
- 22Stepan PonikelskyM
- 30Aleš MandousG
- 43Jason NoslinD
- 6Marek IchaD
- 12Jan TrédlD
- 15Emmanuel GodwinM
- 19Michal HlavatýM
- 8Samuel ŠimekM
- 40Tobias BoledovicM
- 20Abdoull TankoF
- 17Václav DrchalF
- 10Vojtěch PatrákF
- 16Tomáš JelínekM
- 9Daniel SmékalF
- 35Victor SamuelF
- 90Giannis-Fivos BotosM
- 21Mouhamed Tidjane TraoréD
- 1Jáchym ŠerákG
- 44Simon BammensD
- 29Jiri HamzaD
- 92Bohdan SlyubykD
Form going into Hradec Králové vs Pardubice
Hradec Králové
- W1-0away to Tromso23 July 2026
Pardubice
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hradec Králové | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 14 |
| 13 | Pardubice | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hradec Králové vs Pardubice
- 26 July 2026Hradec Králové 2–1 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 7 December 2025Pardubice 1–0 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 10 August 2025Hradec Králové 1–1 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 1 February 2025Hradec Králové 3–0 PardubiceCzech Liga
- 24 August 2024Pardubice 2–1 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 9 March 2024Hradec Králové 2–0 PardubiceCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Hradec Králové and Pardubice
Hradec Králové
- T. Slončík3 goals
Pardubice
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.