6 September 2026, 14:30 UTC

FC Sion vs FC Thun Super League prediction & result

Stade de Tourbillon, Sion
Full time3 – 2

Final score: FC Sion 3-2 FC Thun.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% FC Sion, 27% draw, 23% FC Thun — fair odds of 2.00, 3.70 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Sion at 50% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Sion5%Draw92%FC Thun3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
⚽Jan Bamertassist: Fabio Fehr
Fodé Sylla
16'
⚽Noé Sowassist: Donat Rrudhani
21'
45'
🔁Dorian Derbaciout: Nico Maier
45'
🔁Olivier Mambwaout: Tom Strannegard
45'
🔁Mattias Käitout: Justin·Roth
⚽Donat Rrudhani (pen)
53'
60'
🔁fabio saizout: Nassim Zoukit
Franck Surdez
61'
🔁Winsley Boteli Mokangoout: Rilind Nivokazi
67'
🔁Franck Surdezout: Josias Lukembila
67'
🔁Donat Rrudhaniout: Ylyas Chouaref
67'
71'
⚽Fabio Fehrassist: Furkan Dursun
75'
Justin·Roth
🔁Marquinhos Ciprianoout: Nias Hefti
78'
78'
🔁Furkan Dursunout: Noah Christoffersson
79'
Marco Burki
⚽Josias Lukembila
90+4'

Match stats — FC Sion vs FC Thun

49%Possession51%
14Shots15
6On target4
11Corners4

Line-ups

FC Sion 4-1-4-1
  • 1A. RacioppiG
  • 14N. LavanchyD
  • 5N. SowD
  • 17J. KronigD
  • 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
  • 88A. KabacalmanM
  • 77D. RrudhaniM
  • 37F. SyllaM
  • 8Baltazar CostaM
  • 19F. SurdezM
  • 13Winsley Boteli MokangoF
Substitutes
  • 20N. HeftiD
  • 7I. ChouarefF
  • 21L. ChipperfieldM
  • 10B. KololliM
  • 22A. LlukesM
  • 9J. LukembilaF
  • 33R. NivokaziF
  • 12F. RubertoG
  • 55L. VillaD
Coach: D. Tholot
FC Thun 4-4-2
  • 1N. SteffenG
  • 47F. FehrD
  • 19J. BamertD
  • 23M. BürkiD
  • 2O. MambwaD
  • 70N. ReichmuthM
  • 14M. KäitM
  • 8F. SaizM
  • 21D. DerbaciM
  • 96B. LabeauF
  • 9F. DursunF
Substitutes
  • 13N. ZoukitM
  • 5N. BürgyD
  • 26N. ChristofferssonF
  • 37L. DählerD
  • 80S. LengenF
  • 30N. MaierM
  • 16J. RothM
  • 25T. SpycherG
  • 18T. StrannegårdM
Coach: Gian Luca Privitelli

Form going into FC Sion vs FC Thun

FC Sion

  • W2-1away to FC Basel 18933 September 2026
  • L1-2FC Lugano30 August 2026
  • L3-5away to Ajax27 August 2026
  • L2-4Ajax20 August 2026
  • W2-1FC Noah13 August 2026

FC Thun

  • D0-0Lausanne2 September 2026
  • W4-3away to FC St. Gallen30 August 2026
  • D2-2Lech Poznan27 August 2026
  • L0-7away to Lech Poznan20 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Vikingur Reykjavik13 August 2026

What these results say

  • FC Sion scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Sion conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for FC Sion had three goals or more.
  • FC Thun failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FC Thun conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for FC Thun had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3FC Sion106132317+619
9FC Thun103161727-1010

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Sion vs FC Thun

  • 6 September 2026FC Sion 3–2 FC ThunSuper League
  • 10 May 2026FC Sion 2–0 FC ThunSuper League
  • 15 February 2026FC Thun 1–0 FC SionSuper League
  • 1 November 2025FC Thun 2–1 FC SionSuper League
  • 25 October 2025FC Sion 0–1 FC ThunSuper League
  • 22 April 2024FC Thun 1–0 FC SionChallenge League

Leading scorers: FC Sion and FC Thun

FC Sion

GoalsAssists

  • Winsley Boteli Mokango64
  • J. Lukembila34

FC Thun

No player in Super League's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.