FC Nordsjaelland
vs
Odense
Superliga prediction
Our model says: FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 Odense
The model makes it 49% FC Nordsjaelland, 27% draw, 24% Odense — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: FC Nordsjaelland 1.91, Odense 1.00.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Nordsjaelland at 49% here. Across 2823 settled matches, 1304 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense
FC Nordsjaelland
- L1-4away to Viborg20 September 2026
- W2-0Aarhus13 September 2026
- D2-2away to FC Midtjylland7 September 2026
- L0-2away to FC Copenhagen3 September 2026
- W3-1Brondby30 August 2026
Odense
- D1-1FC Midtjylland19 September 2026
- W2-1away to Randers FC13 September 2026
- L0-5FC Copenhagen6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Lyngby30 August 2026
- D2-2away to Aarhus23 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Nordsjaelland scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Nordsjaelland conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Odense conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Odense failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Odense scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 17 |
| 9 | Odense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense
- 2 November 2025FC Nordsjaelland 2–4 OdenseSuperliga
- 31 August 2025Odense 1–2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 3 December 2023Odense 1–1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 8 October 2023FC Nordsjaelland 0–1 OdenseSuperliga
- 24 February 2023FC Nordsjaelland 4–2 OdenseSuperliga
- 21 January 2023FC Nordsjaelland 4–0 OdenseFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: FC Nordsjaelland and Odense
FC Nordsjaelland
- A. Lind3 goals1 assists
- H. Boe Rasmussen3 goals1 assists
Odense
No player in Superliga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
FC Nordsjaelland carry a model rating of 6.65 against 6.4 for Odense. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.91 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.00 for Odense. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Nordsjaelland rate 0.75 in attack and 1.12 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Odense rate 0.59 and 1.46.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FC Nordsjaelland a 4.6% chance of the title and Odense 0%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1320 correct results out of 2823 settled predictions (47%), with 270 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Nordsjaelland the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.91 expected goals for FC Nordsjaelland against 1 for Odense. FC Nordsjaelland's attack/defence rating is 0.75/1.12 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.59/1.46 for Odense.