FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense Superliga prediction & result
Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 0-0 Odense.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% FC Nordsjaelland, 25% draw, 22% Odense — fair odds of 1.89, 4.00 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Danish Superliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
FC Nordsjaelland at 53%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13A. HansenG
- 25V. NelssonD
- 3T. SalquistD
- 4Noah MarkmannD
- 28M. WalkerM
- 18Justin JanssenM
- 6M. BrinkM
- 23R. NorheimM
- 40H. Boe RasmussenF
- 14Ibrahim AdelF
- 29V. BerthelsenF
- 10P. AmoakoF
- 2P. AnkersenD
- 22C. ErikssonG
- 21M. HeydeM
- 15S. AcquahD
- 5J. LähteenmäkiD
- 11A. LindF
- 8N. RøjkjærM
- 37Lamine SadioM
- 16V. MyhraG
- 4Julian Andreas PauliD
- 13J. Berthel AskouD
- 29J. GomezD
- 28Magnus Hvitfeldt AndersenM
- 6F. UlvestadM
- 8R. FalkM
- 15M. McCoyM
- 7J. ArpM
- 18A. Ahl-HolmströmF
- 17N. GanausF
- 14C. GammelgaardF
- 1M. HansenG
- 5U. Yttergård JenssenD
- 19Nikolaj Juul-SandbergM
- 9T. KeskinenF
- 22I. OuédraogoM
- 24M. RaknebergD
- 3A. SørensenD
- 10A. SuhonenM
Form going into FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense
FC Nordsjaelland
All competitions we cover
- L1-4away to Viborg20 September 2026
- W2-0Aarhus13 September 2026
- D2-2away to FC Midtjylland7 September 2026
- L0-2away to FC Copenhagen3 September 2026
- W3-1Brondby30 August 2026
Odense
All competitions we cover
- D1-1FC Midtjylland19 September 2026
- W2-1away to Randers FC13 September 2026
- L0-5FC Copenhagen6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Lyngby30 August 2026
- D2-2away to Aarhus23 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Nordsjaelland scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Nordsjaelland conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Odense conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Odense failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Odense scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 | Odense | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense
- 2 November 2025FC Nordsjaelland 2–4 OdenseSuperliga
- 31 August 2025Odense 1–2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 3 December 2023Odense 1–1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 8 October 2023FC Nordsjaelland 0–1 OdenseSuperliga
- 24 February 2023FC Nordsjaelland 4–2 OdenseSuperliga
- 21 January 2023FC Nordsjaelland 4–0 OdenseFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: FC Nordsjaelland and Odense
FC Nordsjaelland
GoalsAssists
- A. Lind63
- Ibrahim Adel43
- H. Boe Rasmussen42
Odense
GoalsAssists
- N. Ganaus40
- J. Arp40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Nordsjaelland and Odense drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Nordsjaelland at 53% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 2.04–0.41.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Nordsjaelland a 77.1% chance to finish in the top four: 82.6% after a win, 73.3% after a draw, 68.0% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 73.3%, 3.8 points lower than before the match.
For Odense the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 42.0% going in: 29.1% after a win, 40.3% after a draw, 47.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 40.3%, 1.7 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Superliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on FC Nordsjaelland v Odense has moved
First published on 25 Sep at 49% / 27% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 53% / 25% / 22%: the biggest move is FC Nordsjaelland's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- FC Nordsjaelland win53%▲ +4
- Draw25%▼ −2
- Odense win22%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.