19 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Radnik Surdulica vs FK Partizan Super Liga prediction & result

Surdulica City Stadium, Surdulica
Full time4 – 4

Final score: Radnik Surdulica 4-4 FK Partizan.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Radnik Surdulica, 27% draw, 38% FK Partizan — fair odds of 2.86, 3.70 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FK Partizan at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Vukasin Bogdanovic
5'
18'
⚽Erik Kojzek
⚽Emmanuel Quarshieassist: Martin Novakovic
27'
28'
Samson Nwulu
35'
Milan Vukotic
35'
Milan Vukotic
⚽Vukasin Bogdanovicassist: Djordje Jovanovic
37'
42'
Igor Miladinovic
⚽Uros Lazicassist: Djordje Jovanovic
45+2'
45'
🔁Nemanja Trifunovicout: Nikola Cumic
45'
🔁Igor Miladinovicout: aleks zekovic
54'
⚽Lazar Radojičić (OG)
58'
⚽Nikola Simićassist: Demba Seck
🔁Djordje Jovanovicout: Milos Spasic
62'
⚽Vukasin Bogdanovicassist: Milos Spasic
64'
🔁Aleksandar Pejovićout: Luka Žorić
67'
David Stojanovic
68'
69'
🔁Erik Kojzekout: Jeferson Marinho dos Santos
69'
🔁Iddrisu Babaout: Milan aleksic
Martin Novakovic
72'
73'
⚽Sidney Lima
73'
Stefan Mitrovic
Sadick Abubakar
85'
88'
🔁Demba Seckout: Zubairu Ibrahim
90+2'
aleks zekovic

Match stats — Radnik Surdulica vs FK Partizan

45%Possession55%
19Shots18
8On target7
3Corners5

Line-ups

Radnik Surdulica 4-2-3-1
  • 23Lazar RadojicicG
  • 22U. LazićD
  • 6David StojanovićD
  • 37S. AbubakarD
  • 2Tijan SohnaD
  • 5M. PopovićM
  • 28A. PejovićM
  • 47Emmanuel QuarshieM
  • 30M. NovakovićM
  • 88Đ. JovanovićM
  • 9V. BogdanovićF
Substitutes
  • 92A. KosiahF
  • 7D. StojanovićM
  • 27M. SpasićF
  • 14Uroš IlićD
  • 1F. SamurovićG
  • 10Ryonosuke OhoriM
  • 3Luka ŽorićD
  • 25Teo LakićF
  • 21U. FilipovicD
Coach: Zoran Rendulic
FK Partizan 4-2-3-1
  • 31M. KrunićG
  • 20Samson NwuluD
  • 21Sidney LimaD
  • 40N. SimićD
  • 33S. PetrovićD
  • 14I. BabaM
  • 11M. VukotićM
  • 19D. SeckM
  • 10I. MiladinovićM
  • 32N. TrifunovićM
  • 9E. KojzekF
Substitutes
  • 17M. AleksićF
  • 24V. ĐurđevićD
  • 89JehF
  • 99B. KostićF
  • 44S. MilićD
  • 1M. MiloševićG
  • 5M. MilovanovićD
  • 23S. MitrovićD
  • 8A. ZekovicM
Coach: Sasa Ilic

Form going into Radnik Surdulica vs FK Partizan

Radnik Surdulica

Super Liga

  • D1-1away to Zemun14 September 2026

FK Partizan

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3Vojvodina13 September 2026
  • L1-2away to FK Crvena Zvezda6 September 2026
  • W3-1OFK Beograd31 August 2026
  • W2-1Getafe27 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Mladost Lucani23 August 2026

What these results say

  • FK Partizan scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FK Partizan conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for FK Partizan had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Radnik Surdulica134541717017
10FK Partizan134272124-314

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Radnik Surdulica vs FK Partizan

  • 23 May 2026FK Partizan 5–0 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
  • 7 February 2026Radnik Surdulica 2–3 FK PartizanSuper Liga
  • 30 August 2025FK Partizan 2–0 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
  • 12 March 2025Radnik Surdulica 0–3 FK PartizanCup
  • 24 February 2024Radnik Surdulica 1–2 FK PartizanSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Radnik Surdulica and FK Partizan

Radnik Surdulica

GoalsAssists

  • V. Bogdanović60
  • M. Novaković32

FK Partizan

GoalsAssists

  • E. Kojzek32

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Radnik Surdulica and FK Partizan drew 4–4. The model had leaned towards a win for FK Partizan at 38% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Erik Kojzek 18' for FK Partizan, Emmanuel Quarshie 27' for Radnik Surdulica, Vukasin Bogdanovic 37' for Radnik Surdulica, Uros Lazic 45+2' for Radnik Surdulica, Lazar Radojičić (own goal) 54' for FK Partizan, Nikola Simić 58' for FK Partizan, Vukasin Bogdanovic 64' for Radnik Surdulica, Sidney Lima 73' for FK Partizan. Sent off: Milan Vukotic (FK Partizan) 35'.

How the call on Radnik Surdulica v FK Partizan has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 54% / 23% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 11 updates, it read 35% / 27% / 38%: the biggest move is Radnik Surdulica's chance of winning, down 19 points.

  1. Radnik Surdulica win35%▼ −19
  2. Draw27%▲ +4
  3. FK Partizan win38%▲ +15

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.