FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: FC Ingolstadt 04 2-4 SV Wehen.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% FC Ingolstadt 04, 29% draw, 24% SV Wehen — fair odds of 2.13, 3.45 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Ingolstadt 04 at 47% here. Across 3,740 settled matches (as of 15 October 2026), 1,748 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen
Line-ups
- 47D. KleinG
- 20Y. DeichmannD
- 6G. AntzoulasD
- 15J. ScholzD
- 19L. RosenlöcherD
- 18K. BennettsM
- 8F. CarlsenM
- 10D. KayginM
- 41V. ŠapinaM
- 28N. VelupillayM
- 13L. LokotschF
- 4Elias DeckerD
- 17O. UgonduF
- 23J. MaljojokiD
- 14Max PlathM
- 1M. PonathG
- 37B. KanurićM
- 5Emre GülM
- 16J. GandaF
- 34L. FrödeM
- 16F. StritzelG
- 17Ben NinkD
- 19F. HübnerD
- 15J. JanitzekD
- 18F. GreilingerD
- 22R. MassimoM
- 37M. BrandtM
- 6G. FechnerM
- 32R. PaulaM
- 21M. MüllerF
- 7L. SchleimerF
- 14M. SchultzD
- 45I. Ati AllahM
- 8D. BogićevićM
- 20Ayoub ChaikhounM
- 28M. FlothoF
- 10R. KalemM
- 41Finn Niklas LudwigG
- 5N. MayD
- 24T. NeubertD
Form going into FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen
FC Ingolstadt 04
- L0-3away to FC Viktoria Köln19 September 2026
- L1-2Hoffenheim II16 September 2026
- W1-0away to FC Saarbrücken12 September 2026
SV Wehen
- L1-4MSV Duisburg20 September 2026
- W2-0away to Fortuna Köln16 September 2026
- L0-1Waldhof Mannheim13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | SV Wehen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen
- 11 October 2026FC Ingolstadt 04 2–4 SV Wehen3. Liga
- 28 February 2026SV Wehen 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
- 20 September 2025FC Ingolstadt 04 0–0 SV Wehen3. Liga
- 10 May 2025FC Ingolstadt 04 2–3 SV Wehen3. Liga
- 14 December 2024SV Wehen 2–5 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
- 4 March 2023SV Wehen 4–1 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Leading scorers: FC Ingolstadt 04 and SV Wehen
FC Ingolstadt 04
GoalsAssists
- L. Lokotsch10
SV Wehen
GoalsAssists
- R. Massimo11
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.