Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: Alemannia Aachen 2-5 FC Viktoria Köln.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Alemannia Aachen, 27% draw, 27% FC Viktoria Köln — fair odds of 2.17, 3.70 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Alemannia Aachen at 46% here. Across 3,740 settled matches (as of 15 October 2026), 1,748 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln
Line-ups
- 1M. RiemannG
- 37J. da Silva KialaD
- 28D. WiebeD
- 2P. BagalianisD
- 7L. ScepanikM
- 8L. KösterM
- 10M. LouneM
- 3Matti WagnerM
- 17F. TorsielloM
- 20Georg ErmolaevF
- 27M. SchröersF
- 15M. HanrathsD
- 9D. StarodidF
- 38V. SulejmaniF
- 11M. WäschenbachM
- 30Justin-Kai von der HitzD
- 4D. LeonardD
- 29K. KoscierskiD
- 18Ken IzekorF
- 22T. HendriksG
- 1A. SchulzG
- 19M. SponselD
- 6T. EisenhuthD
- 18Tim KlossD
- 7Y. TonyeD
- 8T. DumanM
- 20Niklas SwiderM
- 28P. FallmannM
- 44N. CastelleM
- 21L. WolfM
- 10D. OttoF
- 11E. GueyeM
- 16N. JahnM
- 26K. JakobD
- 37N. Le BretF
- 17M. PledlM
- 9J. SachseF
- 22V. BoboyD
- 12D. WyciokG
- 24J. AmannM
Form going into Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln
Alemannia Aachen
- W1-0Fortuna Düsseldorf19 September 2026
- L0-1away to Würzburger Kickers15 September 2026
- D2-2SSV Jahn Regensburg12 September 2026
FC Viktoria Köln
- W3-0FC Ingolstadt 0419 September 2026
- W3-1away to SV Meppen15 September 2026
- W4-0Hansa Rostock11 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Alemannia Aachen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln
- 11 October 2026Alemannia Aachen 2–5 FC Viktoria Köln3. Liga
- 10 May 2026FC Viktoria Köln 0–3 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga
- 13 December 2025Alemannia Aachen 0–3 FC Viktoria Köln3. Liga
- 14 February 2025FC Viktoria Köln 3–1 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga
- 15 September 2024Alemannia Aachen 1–0 FC Viktoria Köln3. Liga
Leading scorers: Alemannia Aachen and FC Viktoria Köln
Alemannia Aachen
No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
FC Viktoria Köln
GoalsAssists
- N. Castelle11
- L. Wolf10
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.