Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Erzurumspor FK 0-4 Galatasaray.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Erzurumspor FK, 24% draw, 50% Galatasaray — fair odds of 3.85, 4.17 and 2.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Galatasaray at 50%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31M. OrbanicG
- 53O. OvacikliD
- 4A. GerxhaliuD
- 3Y. KirtayD
- 18N. MujakicD
- 6B. BaiyeM
- 99M. FettahogluM
- 42E. OwusuM
- 65M. RodriguezM
- 9G. KerkM
- 10E. TozluF
- 1E. TaskiranG
- 2F. EboseleD
- 22M. YumluD
- 15G. GiorbelidzeD
- 8S. AkgunM
- 5M. Akpinar
- 20M. CardosoF
- 90N. AkhundzadeF
- 7I. SeverF
- 1U. CakirG
- 7R. SallaiD
- 6D. SanchezD
- 42A. BardakciD
- 4I. JakobsD
- 34L. TorreiraM
- 99M. LeminaM
- 11Y. AkgunM
- 8Gabriel SaraM
- 53B. YilmazM
- 45V. OsimhenF
- 24J. YilmazG
- 90W. SingoD
- 17E. ElmaliD
- 23K. AyhanD
- 88K. KaratasD
- 91A. UnyayD
- 20I. GundoganM
- 18L. UgochukwuM
- 74R. NhagaM
Form going into Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray
Erzurumspor FK
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Amed16 August 2026
Galatasaray
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Çorum FK14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Erzurumspor FK | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 14 |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 15 | +12 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray
- 27 February 2021Galatasaray 2–0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
- 24 October 2020Erzurumspor FK 1–2 GalatasaraySüper Lig
- 3 March 2019Erzurumspor FK 1–1 GalatasaraySüper Lig
- 28 September 2018Galatasaray 1–0 Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
Leading scorers: Erzurumspor FK and Galatasaray
Erzurumspor FK
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Galatasaray
GoalsAssists
- V. Osimhen93
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Galatasaray won 4–0 at Erzurumspor FK. The model had made a win for Galatasaray its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: R. Sallai 12' for Galatasaray, Y. Akgun 20' for Galatasaray, V. Osimhen 45' for Galatasaray, V. Osimhen 79' for Galatasaray. On expected goals it finished 0.49–2.56.