Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Universitatea Craiova 5-0 FCSB.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Universitatea Craiova, 28% draw, 31% FCSB — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Universitatea Craiova at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB
Line-ups
- 21L. PopescuG
- 3O. RomanchukD
- 24N. StevanovićD
- 6V. ScreciuD
- 17C. MoraM
- 8T. BăluțăM
- 20A. CicâldăuM
- 11N. BancuM
- 30D. MateiF
- 9A. Al HamlawiF
- 12M. EtimF
- 7S. NsimbaF
- 22S. ElisorF
- 4A. CrețuM
- 29L. BăsceanuM
- 19Heriberto TavaresD
- 5B. RouxD
- 18M. RădulescuM
- 16João LameiraM
- 90R. SavaG
- 32Ș. TârnovanuG
- 97R. LabonneD
- 5J. DawaD
- 21D. BatubinsikaD
- 4Ricardo PadurariuD
- 73K. MuharM
- 15O. AradM
- 31J. CisottiM
- 10D. DrăguşM
- 7M. KorenicaM
- 14A. GaritaF
- 22M. TomaM
- 90A. StoianF
- 77L. StancuM
- 33R. RadunovićD
- 13M. PopaG
- 98D. PopaF
- 18João PauloM
- 8E. GnahoréM
- 2V. CrețuD
Form going into Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB
Universitatea Craiova
Liga I
- W1-0away to Corvinul Hunedoara13 September 2026
FCSB
Liga I
- D2-2Petrolul Ploiesti14 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Universitatea Craiova | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 9 | +23 | 29 |
| 6 | FCSB | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB
- 15 February 2026Universitatea Craiova 1–0 FCSBLiga I
- 12 February 2026Universitatea Craiova 2–2 FCSBCupa României
- 5 October 2025FCSB 1–0 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 17 May 2025FCSB 1–0 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 13 April 2025Universitatea Craiova 0–0 FCSBLiga I
Leading scorers: Universitatea Craiova and FCSB
Universitatea Craiova
GoalsAssists
- S. Elisor90
- A. Al Hamlawi60
- S. Nsimba40
FCSB
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Universitatea Craiova beat FCSB 5–0. The model had made a win for Universitatea Craiova its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Assad Al Islam·Al Hamlawi 29' for Universitatea Craiova, Assad Al Islam·Al Hamlawi 45+3' for Universitatea Craiova, Alexandru Cicâldău 57' for Universitatea Craiova, Simon Elisor 68' for Universitatea Craiova, Simon Elisor 87' for Universitatea Craiova.
How the call on Universitatea Craiova v FCSB has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 44% / 26% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 14 updates, it read 41% / 28% / 31%: the biggest move is Universitatea Craiova's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Universitatea Craiova win41%▼ −3
- Draw28%▲ +2
- FCSB win31%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.