FC Andorra
vs
Eibar
Segunda División prediction
The model makes it 62% FC Andorra, 19% draw, 19% Eibar — fair odds of 1.61, 5.26 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: FC Andorra 2.59, Eibar 1.42.
Both teams to score: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%, under 2.5: 24%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
FC Andorra
- W5-1AD Ceuta FC15 August 2026
Eibar
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Andorra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
Where they stand. Eibar has not started the league season yet. Full tables
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
FC Andorra carry a model rating of 6.92 against 6.8 for Eibar. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): FC Andorra W.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.59 goals for FC Andorra and 1.42 for Eibar. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Andorra rate 0.96 in attack and 0.84 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Eibar rate 1.21 and 1.43.
That points to 76% for over two and a half goals and 71% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 400 correct results out of 828 settled predictions (48%), with 78 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Andorra the highest probability at 62%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.59 expected goals for FC Andorra against 1.42 for Eibar. FC Andorra's attack/defence rating is 0.96/0.84 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.21/1.43 for Eibar.