FC Andorra vs Eibar Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: FC Andorra 0-1 Eibar.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% FC Andorra, 27% draw, 29% Eibar — fair odds of 2.27, 3.70 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Andorra at 44% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Andorra vs Eibar
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13P. LopezG
- 17T. CarriqueD
- 5M. Bombardo PoyatoD
- 23D. AlendeD
- 20M. VilaD
- 8E. AkmanM
- 10M. DomenechM
- 16R. SchneiderM
- 7A. CalvoF
- 29H. LopezF
- 15J. CanoF
- 1N. RattiG
- 25J. OwonoG
- 3L. M. SpatzD
- 18A. LopezD
- 2J. SebastianD
- 14S. MolinaM
- 19Quintana NachoM
- 6H. SolozabalM
- 28T. OlmedoM
- 13J. MagunagoitiaG
- 22A. RodriguezD
- 4U. ElgezabalD
- 23A. ArbillaD
- 24J. BernatD
- 30A. GarridoM
- 8A. MadariagaM
- 11J. Magunazelaia ArgoitiaM
- 21I. GilM
- 10J. GuruzetaM
- 20Javier MartonF
- 1L. LopezG
- 2S. CuberoD
- 15J. AmadorD
- 18M. AranaD
- 28L. NunezM
- 17PejinoF
- 7A. AresF
- 32C. LumbrerasF
- 19E. Perez
Form going into FC Andorra vs Eibar
FC Andorra
- L2-4away to Celta de Vigo II24 August 2026
- W5-1AD Ceuta FC15 August 2026
Eibar
- W1-0Valladolid23 August 2026
- L1-3Tenerife16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | FC Andorra | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 6 |
| 2 | Eibar | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Andorra vs Eibar
- 21 March 2026FC Andorra 0–1 EibarSegunda División
- 8 September 2025Eibar 2–0 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 14 April 2024FC Andorra 0–2 EibarSegunda División
- 10 December 2023Eibar 2–2 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 26 March 2023Eibar 0–0 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 17 September 2022FC Andorra 2–0 EibarSegunda División
Leading scorers: FC Andorra and Eibar
FC Andorra
- Jordi Cano4 goals1 assist
Eibar
- Jon Guruzeta3 goals2 assists
- Malcom Adu2 goals3 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.