Cordoba vs Granada CF Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Cordoba 1-3 Granada CF.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Cordoba, 26% draw, 25% Granada CF — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cordoba at 49% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cordoba vs Granada CF
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1I. AlvarezG
- 30D. BudescaD
- 5J. GutierrezD
- 16R. AlvesD
- 3D. TasendeD
- 22Y. DiarraM
- 8I. RuizM
- 28E. GarciaM
- 23C. CarracedoF
- 9PercanF
- 11D. BriF
- 13Guilherme FernandesG
- 27E. MunozD
- 21C. AlbarranD
- 4Alex MartinD
- 7T. ZidaneM
- 6D. CaceresM
- 18E. RodriguezF
- 19I. SanzF
- 10K. MedinaF
- 13R. LizoainG
- 18S. LopezD
- 5M. LamaD
- 35B. DembeleD
- 22B. DialloD
- 4R. AlcarazM
- 6G. GumbauM
- 26S. RodelasM
- 8P. AlemanM
- 11J. M. ArnaizM
- 19C. OnouhaF
- 1A. FloresG
- 23B. GimberD
- 16D. Varela PampinD
- 3D. HormigoD
- 30JuanjoD
- 33A. GarciaD
- 27M. Jimenez GambinM
- 32D. RodriguezM
- 17K. BambaF
Form going into Cordoba vs Granada CF
Cordoba
- W2-1Girona21 August 2026
- L2-3away to Burgos16 August 2026
Granada CF
- W2-0Mallorca24 August 2026
- D0-0away to Oviedo15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 |
| 13 | Granada CF | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cordoba vs Granada CF
- 10 May 2026Cordoba 1–0 Granada CFSegunda División
- 22 November 2025Granada CF 1–1 CordobaSegunda División
- 2 March 2025Cordoba 5–0 Granada CFSegunda División
- 13 October 2024Granada CF 1–0 CordobaSegunda División
- 20 July 2022Cordoba 1–0 Granada CFFriendlies Clubs
- 15 February 2019Cordoba 1–2 Granada CFSegunda División
Leading scorers: Cordoba and Granada CF
Cordoba
- Percan2 goals1 assist
Granada CF
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.