Farul Constanta vs FC Botosani Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Farul Constanta 0-0 FC Botosani.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Farul Constanta, 26% draw, 26% FC Botosani — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Farul Constanta at 48% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Farul Constanta vs FC Botosani
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12R. MunteanuG
- 24S. BouzamouchaD
- 6V. DicanD
- 4Gustavo MarinsD
- 22D. SirbuM
- 23T. NjikeM
- 70M. AhlinviM
- 3V. TicuM
- 28C. SimaF
- 7D. AlibecF
- 20E. RadaslavescuF
- 1A. BuzbuchiG
- 17I. LarieD
- 33Joao FerreiraD
- 11C. GaneaD
- 13I. CercelD
- 18L. BanuM
- 10E. SylvestreF
- 80N. PopescuM
- 29A. GoncearM
- 99G. AnestisG
- 2B. J. BayeyeD
- 4A. MironD
- 94M. DiarraD
- 73N. IlasD
- 67E. PapaM
- 3C. PetroM
- 21L. De VegaM
- 10S. BodisteanuF
- 41A. DumiterF
- 7S. MailatF
- 27I. C. GurauG
- 23E. DiawD
- 44R. SadikuD
- 5R. CretD
- 25A. SuchianuD
- 8R. IdowuM
- 37M. BordeianuM
- 77Gabriel GamaM
- 14G. Sorodoc
Form going into Farul Constanta vs FC Botosani
Farul Constanta
- D1-1away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe23 August 2026
- D1-1away to Arges Pitesti14 August 2026
- W3-2Csikszereda8 August 2026
- D2-2away to FCSB3 August 2026
- W2-0Corvinul Hunedoara25 July 2026
FC Botosani
- W1-0Csikszereda24 August 2026
- L2-3away to FCSB17 August 2026
- D0-0Corvinul Hunedoara10 August 2026
- L1-2away to Universitatea Cluj3 August 2026
- D1-1Rapid27 July 2026
What these results say
- Farul Constanta went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Farul Constanta scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Farul Constanta conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Botosani failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Botosani scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Botosani | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Farul Constanta vs FC Botosani
- 2 May 2026Farul Constanta 1–1 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 11 January 2026FC Botosani 1–0 Farul ConstantaFriendlies Clubs
- 7 November 2025Farul Constanta 2–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 30 October 2025FC Botosani 1–1 Farul ConstantaCupa României
- 14 July 2025FC Botosani 1–1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
- 29 March 2025FC Botosani 4–3 Farul ConstantaLiga I
Leading scorers: Farul Constanta and FC Botosani
Farul Constanta
GoalsAssists
- E. Rădăslăvescu53
- M. Ahlinvi41
- Iustin Doicaru31
FC Botosani
GoalsAssists
- A. Dumiter60
- S. Mailat42
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.