3 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Exeter City vs Rotherham League Two prediction & result

St James Park, Exeter
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Exeter City 1-0 Rotherham.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Exeter City, 30% draw, 29% Rotherham — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Exeter City at 41%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Exeter City97%Draw3%Rotherham0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

L. Woodhouse
43'
⚽Anthony Scullyassist: George Birch
51'
58'
Dominic Iorfa
58'
🔁Jayce Fitzgeraldout: Tom Bradshaw
🔁Anthony Scullyout: Gwion Edwards
65'
69'
🔁Marvin Kaletaout: Aaron Nemane
69'
🔁Kieran Ngwenyaout: kian spence
🔁George Birchout: Ethan Sutherland
79'
🔁Taylor Perryout: Liam Oakes
80'
🔁Josh Gordonout: Sonny Cox
85'
Charlie Cummins
90+2'

Match stats — Exeter City vs Rotherham

47%Possession53%
16Shots7
7On target0
8Corners2

Line-ups

Exeter City 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. BycroftG
  • 2L. SamuelD
  • 6J. TaylorD
  • 5J. FitzwaterD
  • 3L. WoodhouseD
  • 31J. Doyle-HayesM
  • 16C. CumminsM
  • 25A. ScullyM
  • 8T. PerryM
  • 20George BirchM
  • 10J. GordonF
Substitutes
  • 19S. CoxF
  • 7G. EdwardsM
  • 14H. KiteM
  • 18Liam OakesD
  • 22Frankie PhillipsG
  • 23Ethan SutherlandD
  • 46L. CaylessD
Coach: M. Taylor
Rotherham 4-2-3-1
  • 13J. EyestoneG
  • 12D. HallD
  • 14Sonny AljofreeD
  • 27D. IorfaD
  • 5K. NgwenyaD
  • 6O. AshleyM
  • 15Jayce FitzgeraldM
  • 17Marvin Marvellous KaletaM
  • 4J. AusterfieldM
  • 24J. BuyabuM
  • 10P. MullinF
Substitutes
  • 8K. SpenceM
  • 2J. RaffertyD
  • 23A. NemaneF
  • 26H. DouglasM
  • 1T. CannG
  • 9T. BradshawF
  • 16E. AdegboyegaD
Coach: A. Bruce

Form going into Exeter City vs Rotherham

Exeter City

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Bristol Rovers26 September 2026

Rotherham

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Crewe26 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Exeter City14545119+219
22Rotherham142661825-712

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Exeter City vs Rotherham

  • 31 January 2026Exeter City 0–4 RotherhamLeague One
  • 6 September 2025Rotherham 1–0 Exeter CityLeague One
  • 15 March 2025Rotherham 1–1 Exeter CityLeague One
  • 10 August 2024Exeter City 1–0 RotherhamLeague One
  • 9 April 2013Rotherham 4–1 Exeter CityLeague Two

Leading scorers: Exeter City and Rotherham

Exeter City

No player in League Two's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Rotherham

GoalsAssists

  • P. Mullin80

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Exeter City beat Rotherham 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Exeter City at 41%. The goal: Anthony Scully 51' for Exeter City.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.