10 October 2026, 13:30 UTC

ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja Ligue 1 prediction & result

Stade Hedi-Enneifer
Full time3 – 1

Final score: ES Tunis 3-1 Olympique Béja.

Before kick-off the model made it 67% ES Tunis, 19% draw, 14% Olympique Béja — fair odds of 1.49, 5.26 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts ES Tunis at 67% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 307 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 62.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.2%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

ES Tunis99%Draw1%Olympique Béja0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽H. Mastouri
1'
H. Jelassi
12'
⚽H. Mastouri
13'
37'
M. W. Djoumekou R.
⚽H. Mastouri
48'
51'
🔁A. Sidibeout: O. Sayari
51'
🔁I. Chelghoumiout: A. Ishimwe
59'
⚽H. Mabrouk
66'
🔁M. W. Djoumekou R.out: F. Ben Hassine
🔁Lucas Ribeiroout: A. Konate
67'
🔁H. Rafiaout: M. Belhadj
67'
82'
H. Mabrouk
🔁Y. Belailiout: Y. Becha
87'
🔁I. Farajout: M. Haj Ali
87'
M. Haj Ali
89'

Form going into ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja

ES Tunis

  • W1-0away to CS Hammam-Lif13 September 2026
  • W2-1AS Marsa6 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Jeunesse Sportive Omrane30 August 2026
  • W3-2ES Sahel23 August 2026

Olympique Béja

  • D1-1Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer13 September 2026
  • D1-1away to CA Bizertin5 September 2026
  • L1-2US Ben Guerdane30 August 2026
  • L0-1away to ES Zarzis23 August 2026

What these results say

  • ES Tunis scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • ES Tunis won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • ES Tunis conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Olympique Béja did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Olympique Béja conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Olympique Béja scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1ES Tunis5401107+312
15Olympique Béja502348-42

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja

  • 10 October 2026ES Tunis 3–1 Olympique BéjaLigue 1
  • 1 March 2026Olympique Béja 0–3 ES TunisLigue 1
  • 24 September 2025ES Tunis 2–0 Olympique BéjaLigue 1
  • 11 May 2025Olympique Béja 0–5 ES TunisLigue 1
  • 22 January 2025ES Tunis 1–1 Olympique BéjaLigue 1
  • 7 June 2023ES Tunis 2–0 Olympique BéjaLigue 1
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.