CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: CA Bizertin 0-0 US Monastirienne.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% CA Bizertin, 28% draw, 40% US Monastirienne — fair odds of 3.13, 3.57 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (Tunisia) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts US Monastirienne at 40% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne
CA Bizertin
- L0-2away to CS Sfaxien20 September 2026
- D1-1Olympique Béja5 September 2026
- W1-0away to CS Hammam-Lif30 August 2026
- W1-0AS Marsa23 August 2026
US Monastirienne
- W2-1away to ES Zarzis16 September 2026
- D3-3US Ben Guerdane12 September 2026
- W2-1Stade Tunisien29 August 2026
- D0-0away to ES Hammam-Sousse22 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 4 matches for CA Bizertin had two goals or fewer.
- CA Bizertin scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- US Monastirienne went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- US Monastirienne scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- US Monastirienne conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | CA Bizertin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | US Monastirienne | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne
- 10 October 2026CA Bizertin 0–0 US MonastirienneLigue 1
- 28 February 2026CA Bizertin 0–0 US MonastirienneLigue 1
- 24 September 2025US Monastirienne 1–0 CA BizertinLigue 1
- 19 January 2025US Monastirienne 3–1 CA BizertinLigue 1
- 1 September 2024CA Bizertin 0–0 US MonastirienneLigue 1
- 5 November 2023US Monastirienne 1–0 CA BizertinLigue 1