Eintracht Braunschweig
vs
VfL Bochum
2. Bundesliga prediction
The model makes it 35% Eintracht Braunschweig, 27% draw, 38% VfL Bochum — fair odds of 2.86, 3.70 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Eintracht Braunschweig 1.36, VfL Bochum 1.43.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: Low.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Eintracht Braunschweig
- W6-1away to 1. FC Magdeburg8 August 2026
VfL Bochum
- L0-1Hertha BSC7 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 3 |
| 15 | VfL Bochum | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
Eintracht Braunschweig
- Jan Urbich2 goals
- S. Di Benedetto1 goals1 assists
- A. Opoku1 goals
VfL Bochum
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Eintracht Braunschweig carry a model rating of 6.68 against 6.86 for VfL Bochum. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Eintracht Braunschweig W; VfL Bochum L.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.36 goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.43 for VfL Bochum. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Eintracht Braunschweig rate 0.83 in attack and 1.16 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; VfL Bochum rate 0.88 and 0.87.
That points to 53% for over two and a half goals and 57% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%).
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Eintracht Braunschweig, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives VfL Bochum the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.36 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig against 1.43 for VfL Bochum. Eintracht Braunschweig's attack/defence rating is 0.83/1.16 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.88/0.87 for VfL Bochum.