Eintracht Braunschweig
vs
Hertha BSC
2. Bundesliga prediction
The model makes it 43% Eintracht Braunschweig, 24% draw, 33% Hertha BSC — fair odds of 2.33, 4.17 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Eintracht Braunschweig 1.76, Hertha BSC 1.51.
Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Eintracht Braunschweig
- W6-1away to 1. FC Magdeburg8 August 2026
Hertha BSC
- W1-0away to VfL Bochum7 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 3 |
| 6 | Hertha BSC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Eintracht Braunschweig vs Hertha BSC
- 19 April 2026Eintracht Braunschweig 1–1 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
- 21 November 2025Hertha BSC 1–0 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
- 16 March 2025Eintracht Braunschweig 1–5 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
- 18 October 2024Hertha BSC 3–1 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
- 24 February 2024Eintracht Braunschweig 1–1 Hertha Berlin2. Bundesliga
- 17 September 2023Hertha Berlin 3–0 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers
Eintracht Braunschweig
- Jan Urbich2 goals
- S. Di Benedetto1 goals1 assists
Hertha BSC
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Eintracht Braunschweig carry a model rating of 6.68 against 6.76 for Hertha BSC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): Eintracht Braunschweig W; Hertha BSC W.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.76 goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.51 for Hertha BSC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Eintracht Braunschweig rate 0.83 in attack and 1.16 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Hertha BSC rate 0.93 and 1.12.
That points to 63% for over two and a half goals and 65% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 334 correct results out of 699 settled predictions (48%), with 66 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Eintracht Braunschweig the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.76 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig against 1.51 for Hertha BSC. Eintracht Braunschweig's attack/defence rating is 0.83/1.16 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.93/1.12 for Hertha BSC.