21 July 2026

Floriana vs Drita UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Full time1 – 1

Final score: Floriana 1-1 Drita.

Before kick-off the model made it 68% Floriana, 16% draw, 16% Drita — fair odds of 1.47, 6.25 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Floriana at 68% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
Kristal Abazaj
34'
Besnik Krasniqi
Paul Mbong
52'
🔁R. Muricout: K. Dervisagic
62'
🔁M. Jahout: Z. Scerri
73'
🔁D. Vellaout: Chapi
73'
🔁C. Zammit Lonardelliout: T. Gudelj
73'
73'
🔁A. Manajout: L. Balaj
86'
🔁K. Abazajout: B. Sheji
90+8'
Hajdin Salihu
🔁A. Kurtalicout: A. Drina
90+6'
90+7'
🔁out: O. Grezda
90+7'
🔁I. Jashariout: H. Salihu
90'
⚽L. Balajassist: B. Krasniqi
⚽A. Drina
90'

Line-ups

Floriana 4-3-3
  • 23G. Cioletti
  • 21C. Zammit LonardelliM
  • 17O. SpiteriD
  • 4Kauan
  • 3M. BeermanD
  • 14A. KurtalicM
  • 10F. VarelaM
  • 12D. VellaM
  • 11R. MuricM
  • 19M. JahF
  • 28P. MbongM
Substitutes
  • 80P. PiconG
  • 5G. RodgersD
  • 6A. Drina
  • 8Z. ScerriM
  • 9K. DervisagicF
  • 16Chapi
  • 20E. PiscopoM
  • 22T. Gudelj
  • 27Z. Vella NewellM
Coach: Daniel Portela
Drita 4-2-3-1
  • 1F. MalokuG
  • 2B. KrasniqiD
  • 25A. BytyciD
  • 32J. PellumbiD
  • 26R. OvoukaD
  • 14A. DabiqajM
  • 8V. LimajM
  • 77K. AbazajF
  • 19B. KrasniqiF
  • 7I. JashariM
  • 9A. ManajF
Substitutes
  • 22L. BehluliG
  • 74E. Isufi
  • 3B. ShejiD
  • 4R. BrojaM
  • 10L. BalajM
  • 17O. GrezdaF
  • 24W. BaetenM
  • 28A. MjakiD
  • 55H. SalihuD
Coach: Zekirija Ramadani

Head-to-head: Floriana vs Drita

  • 21 July 2026Floriana 1–1 DritaUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.