21 July 2026

Floriana vs Drita UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Full time1 – 1

Final score: Floriana 1-1 Drita.

Before kick-off the model made it 68% Floriana, 16% draw, 16% Drita — fair odds of 1.47, 6.25 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Drita v Floriana, 28 Jul →

Drita went through 3–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Floriana at 68% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
Kristal Abazaj
34'
Besnik Krasniqi
Paul Mbong
52'
🔁R. Muricout: K. Dervisagic
62'
🔁M. Jahout: Z. Scerri
73'
🔁D. Vellaout: Chapi
73'
🔁C. Zammit Lonardelliout: T. Gudelj
73'
73'
🔁A. Manajout: L. Balaj
86'
🔁K. Abazajout: B. Sheji
90+8'
Hajdin Salihu
🔁A. Kurtalicout: A. Drina
90+6'
90+7'
🔁out: O. Grezda
90+7'
🔁I. Jashariout: H. Salihu
90'
⚽L. Balajassist: B. Krasniqi
⚽A. Drina
90'

Line-ups

Floriana 4-3-3
  • 23G. Cioletti
  • 21C. Zammit LonardelliM
  • 17O. SpiteriD
  • 4Kauan
  • 3M. BeermanD
  • 14A. KurtalicM
  • 10F. VarelaM
  • 12D. VellaM
  • 11R. MuricM
  • 19M. JahF
  • 28P. MbongM
Substitutes
  • 80P. PiconG
  • 5G. RodgersD
  • 6A. Drina
  • 8Z. ScerriM
  • 9K. DervisagicF
  • 16Chapi
  • 20E. PiscopoM
  • 22T. Gudelj
  • 27Z. Vella NewellM
Coach: Daniel Portela
Drita 4-2-3-1
  • 1F. MalokuG
  • 2B. KrasniqiD
  • 25A. BytyciD
  • 32J. PellumbiD
  • 26R. OvoukaD
  • 14A. DabiqajM
  • 8V. LimajM
  • 77K. AbazajF
  • 19B. KrasniqiF
  • 7I. JashariM
  • 9A. ManajF
Substitutes
  • 22L. BehluliG
  • 74E. Isufi
  • 3B. ShejiD
  • 4R. BrojaM
  • 10L. BalajM
  • 17O. GrezdaF
  • 24W. BaetenM
  • 28A. MjakiD
  • 55H. SalihuD
Coach: Zekirija Ramadani

The result against the call

Floriana and Drita drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Floriana at 68% and given a draw 16%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: L. Balaj 90' for Drita, A. Drina 90' for Floriana.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.