3 October 2026, 21:05 UTC

Deportes Tolima vs Chico Primera A prediction & result

Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Referee: Andres Rojas
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Deportes Tolima 0-0 Chico.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Deportes Tolima, 28% draw, 18% Chico — fair odds of 1.85, 3.57 and 5.56.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Deportes Tolima at 54%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Deportes Tolima5%Draw93%Chico2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Shean Barbosa
9'
45+1'
Jacobo Pimentel
55'
🔁Cristian Blancoout: Delio Ramírez
🔁Luis Sanchezout: Sergio Aguayo
56'
🔁Sebastian Guzmanout: Santiago Joven Jiménez
68'
🔁Jorge Hurtadoout: Kelvin Flórez
68'
69'
🔁Jacobo Pimentelout: sebastian viveros
69'
🔁Alejandro Mayaout: Felipe Cifuentes
Ever Valencia
73'
🔁Brayan Roviraout: Jader Valencia
78'
🔁Ever Valenciaout: Victor Manuel Reyes Clavijo
78'
83'
🔁S. Meraout: Daniel Polanco

Match stats — Deportes Tolima vs Chico

75%Possession25%
18Shots1
6On target1
10Corners0

Line-ups

Deportes Tolima 3-4-3
  • 1Neto VolpiG
  • 3J. AnguloD
  • 2A. AnguloD
  • 30S. P. Barbosa GomezD
  • 33J. MosqueraM
  • 80B. RoviraM
  • 32S. GuzmánM
  • 8E. ValenciaM
  • 7J. CabezasF
  • 24A. ParraF
  • 10L. SánchezF
Substitutes
  • 18K. FlórezF
  • 15Sergio AguayoF
  • 19Joven SantiagoF
  • 13M. OrtegaG
  • 4D. PedrozoD
  • 16V. ReyesM
  • 11J. ValenciaF
  • 26Nilder Yankarlos Zapata OlarteD
Coach: L. Suárez
Chico 4-4-2
  • 1D. AgudeloG
  • 24C. MosqueraD
  • 5J. AlomíaD
  • 4J. MenaD
  • 14C. BlancoD
  • 17E. SarriaM
  • 8S. SalazarM
  • 6J. DíazM
  • 16S. MeraM
  • 22Alejandro MayaF
  • 21J. PimentelF
Substitutes
  • 10Y. CabreraM
  • 29Luis CarabalíF
  • 7F. CifuentesF
  • 28Jesús Cárdenas
  • 19J. Pimentel Betancourt
  • 2D. PolancoD
  • 11D. RamírezM
  • 20sebastian viverosM
  • 12B. ZapataG
Coach: J. Gómez

Form going into Deportes Tolima vs Chico

Deportes Tolima

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2away to Fortaleza FC27 September 2026
  • D1-1America de Cali20 September 2026

Chico

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0Deportivo Pasto25 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Deportes Tolima187562321+226
15Chico185491529-1419

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Deportes Tolima vs Chico

  • 23 March 2026Chico 1–1 Deportes TolimaPrimera A
  • 15 September 2025Deportes Tolima 4–0 ChicoPrimera A
  • 2 April 2025Chico 1–4 Deportes TolimaPrimera A
  • 15 September 2024Deportes Tolima 2–1 ChicoPrimera A
  • 1 March 2024Chico 1–1 Deportes TolimaPrimera A

Leading scorers: Deportes Tolima and Chico

Deportes Tolima

GoalsAssists

  • A. Parra95

Chico

No player in Primera A's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Deportes Tolima and Chico drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Deportes Tolima at 54% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.