DC United vs Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: DC United 0-0 Los Angeles FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% DC United, 24% draw, 25% Los Angeles FC — fair odds of 1.96, 4.17 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts DC United at 51% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — DC United vs Los Angeles FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1S. JohnsonG
- 2K. NonoD
- 3L. BartlettD
- 21A. DozzellD
- 6K. KurokawaD
- 23B. ServaniaM
- 4M. PeltolaM
- 7PeglowM
- 11L. MunteanuF
- 25J. HopkinsF
- 22N. OrdazF
- 26A. BonoG
- 13S. NealisD
- 27N. MarkovicD
- 77H. KijimaM
- 48G. TurnerM
- 40K. CastilloM
- 8J. StroudM
- 32O. AvilezF
- 1H. LlorisG
- 24R. HollingsheadD
- 5R. PorteousD
- 33A. LongD
- 23Y. CheberkoD
- 66M. ChoiniereM
- 4E. SeguraM
- 8M. DelgadoM
- 99D. BouangaF
- 17J. EbobisseF
- 7Son Heung-MinF
- 31C. CarterG
- 45K. NielsenD
- 91Nkosi TafariD
- 44C. DiazD
- 22J. TerryM
- 19T. BoydF
- 21R. RaposoM
- 90T. MihalicF
- 49C. KosakoffF
Form going into DC United vs Los Angeles FC
DC United
- L1-3away to Charlotte22 August 2026
- L0-3New England Revolution19 August 2026
- D1-1away to CF Montreal15 August 2026
- D2-2Nashville SC1 August 2026
- W2-1Toronto FC25 July 2026
Los Angeles FC
- D1-1Portland Timbers23 August 2026
- L0-1away to Colorado Rapids20 August 2026
- L0-1San Diego16 August 2026
- D1-1away to Vancouver Whitecaps1 August 2026
- W4-0Sporting Kansas City26 July 2026
What these results say
- DC United conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- DC United failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- DC United scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Los Angeles FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Los Angeles FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Los Angeles FC had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 30 | +13 | 41 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: DC United vs Los Angeles FC
- 5 February 2023DC United 2–1 Los Angeles FCFriendlies Clubs
- 17 August 2022Los Angeles FC 1–0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- 6 April 2019DC United 0–4 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 27 May 2018Los Angeles FC 1–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: DC United and Los Angeles FC
DC United
- T. Baribo14 goals
Los Angeles FC
- D. Bouanga14 goals5 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.