DC United vs Columbus Crew Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: DC United 2-1 Columbus Crew.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% DC United, 28% draw, 32% Columbus Crew — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts DC United at 40% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — DC United vs Columbus Crew
Line-ups
- 1S. JohnsonG
- 5S. HeftiD
- 3L. BartlettD
- 15K. RowlesD
- 6K. KurokawaD
- 2K. NonoM
- 21A. DozzellM
- 7PeglowM
- 25J. HopkinsF
- 9T. BariboF
- 11L. MunteanuF
- 26A. BonoG
- 13S. NealisD
- 27N. MarkovicD
- 77H. KijimaM
- 23B. ServaniaM
- 4M. PeltolaD
- 8J. StroudM
- 22N. OrdazF
- 32O. AvilezF
- 28P. SchulteG
- 12C. RuvalcabaD
- 25S. ZawadzkiD
- 18M. AmundsenD
- 23M. FarsiM
- 7D. ChambostM
- 50T. KarumanchiM
- 11B. LennonM
- 16T. HabrouneF
- 8S. RodriguezF
- 77J. MartinezF
- 1N. HagenG
- 54L. PruterG
- 3E. BaillyD
- 31S. MoreiraD
- 10B. MendezM
- 20A. GomesM
- 26L. GiacconeM
- 19J. ThiareF
- 33G. TapiaF
Form going into DC United vs Columbus Crew
DC United
- D0-0Los Angeles FC29 August 2026
- L1-3away to Charlotte22 August 2026
- L0-3New England Revolution19 August 2026
- D1-1away to CF Montreal15 August 2026
- D2-2Nashville SC1 August 2026
Columbus Crew
- W3-0Colorado Rapids5 September 2026
- L1-3New England Revolution30 August 2026
- L2-3away to Nashville SC23 August 2026
- L1-2CF Montreal19 August 2026
- L1-3away to Charlotte15 August 2026
What these results say
- DC United did not win any of these 5 matches.
- DC United conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Columbus Crew scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Columbus Crew had three goals or more.
- Columbus Crew failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: DC United vs Columbus Crew
- 9 September 2026DC United 2–1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- 19 July 2025Columbus Crew 2–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- 29 March 2025DC United 1–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- 28 September 2024DC United 2–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- 6 April 2024Columbus Crew 1–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- 8 April 2023DC United 0–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: DC United and Columbus Crew
DC United
GoalsAssists
- T. Baribo140
Columbus Crew
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 41 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.