CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: CF Pachuca 1-2 Club Queretaro.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% CF Pachuca, 30% draw, 24% Club Queretaro — fair odds of 2.17, 3.33 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts CF Pachuca at 46% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25Carlos MorenoG
- 22Alan MozoD
- 4Eduardo BauermannD
- 2Sergio BarretoD
- 15Francisco VenegasD
- 16Christian RiveraM
- 10Elías MontielM
- 29KenedyM
- 7Rodolfo PizarroM
- 11Oussama IdrissiM
- 23Salomón RondónF
- 21Nicolás VallejoF
- 8Alexei DomínguezF
- 6Mauricio IsaisD
- 14Carlos SánchezD
- 9Adrián AlcarazM
- 31Jose EulogioG
- 13Jorge BerlangaD
- 30Sergio RodríguezM
- 187Gael ÁlvarezF
- 25Guillermo AllisonG
- 24Bayron DuarteD
- 13Diego ReyesD
- 2Lucas AbasciaD
- 27Daniel ParraD
- 4Carlo Adriano GarcíaM
- 5Santiago HomenchenkoM
- 16Enzo GiménezM
- 11Mateo CoronelM
- 12Paulo VictorM
- 9Ali ÁvilaF
- 29Waldo MadridM
- 15Carlos VillanuevaD
- 30Mono MartínezM
- 26Eduardo PerezF
- 1José HernándezG
- 22Jean UnjanqueM
- 35Juan Pablo CázaresM
- 18Erik DueñasM
- 20Alejandro AlcalaM
Form going into CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro
CF Pachuca
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Pumas UNAM18 July 2026
Club Queretaro
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Club America19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro
- 1 February 2026Club Queretaro 0–0 CF PachucaLiga MX
- 20 September 2025CF Pachuca 0–2 Club QueretaroLiga MX
- 30 January 2025Club Queretaro 0–1 CF PachucaLiga MX
- 31 August 2024CF Pachuca 1–1 Club QueretaroLiga MX
- 10 March 2024CF Pachuca 1–2 Club QueretaroLiga MX
Leading scorers: CF Pachuca and Club Queretaro
CF Pachuca
GoalsAssists
- S. Rondón131
Club Queretaro
GoalsAssists
- S. Homenchenko52
- A. Ávila50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Club Queretaro won 2–1 at CF Pachuca. The model had leaned towards a win for CF Pachuca at 46% and given a win for Club Queretaro 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: S. Rondon 3' for CF Pachuca, A. Avila 58' for Club Queretaro, A. Avila 90+4' for Club Queretaro. On expected goals it finished 1.22–2.07.