CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: CF Pachuca 1-2 Club Queretaro.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% CF Pachuca, 30% draw, 24% Club Queretaro — fair odds of 2.17, 3.33 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts CF Pachuca at 46% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25Carlos MorenoG
- 22Alan MozoD
- 4Eduardo BauermannD
- 2Sergio BarretoD
- 15Francisco VenegasD
- 16Christian RiveraM
- 10Elías MontielM
- 29KenedyM
- 7Rodolfo PizarroM
- 11Oussama IdrissiM
- 23Salomón RondónF
- 21Nicolás VallejoF
- 8Alexei DomínguezF
- 6Mauricio IsaisD
- 14Carlos SánchezD
- 9Adrián AlcarazM
- 31Jose EulogioG
- 13Jorge BerlangaD
- 30Sergio RodríguezM
- 187Gael ÁlvarezF
- 25Guillermo AllisonG
- 24Bayron DuarteD
- 13Diego ReyesD
- 2Lucas AbasciaD
- 27Daniel ParraD
- 4Carlo Adriano GarcíaM
- 5Santiago HomenchenkoM
- 16Enzo GiménezM
- 11Mateo CoronelM
- 12Paulo VictorM
- 9Ali ÁvilaF
- 29Waldo MadridM
- 15Carlos VillanuevaD
- 30Mono MartínezM
- 26Eduardo PerezF
- 1José HernándezG
- 22Jean UnjanqueM
- 35Juan Pablo CázaresM
- 18Erik DueñasM
- 20Alejandro AlcalaM
Form going into CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro
CF Pachuca
- W3-0away to Pumas UNAM18 July 2026
Club Queretaro
- L0-1Club America19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | CF Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 11 |
| 5 | Club Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro
- 27 July 2026CF Pachuca 1–2 Club QueretaroLiga MX
- 1 February 2026Club Queretaro 0–0 CF PachucaLiga MX
- 20 September 2025CF Pachuca 0–2 Club QueretaroLiga MX
- 30 January 2025Club Queretaro 0–1 CF PachucaLiga MX
- 31 August 2024CF Pachuca 1–1 Club QueretaroLiga MX
- 10 March 2024CF Pachuca 1–2 Club QueretaroLiga MX
Leading scorers: CF Pachuca and Club Queretaro
CF Pachuca
- S. Rondón8 goals
Club Queretaro
- S. Homenchenko4 goals2 assists
- A. Ávila3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.