CF Pachuca
vs
Club Queretaro
Final score: CF Pachuca 1-2 Club Queretaro.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% CF Pachuca, 24% draw, 31% Club Queretaro — fair odds of 2.22, 4.17 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: CF Pachuca 1.78, Club Queretaro 1.45.
Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Match stats: CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro
CF Pachuca had 53% possession, 13 shots (2 on target), 1 corners, 1.22 expected goals; Club Queretaro had 47% possession, 18 shots (5 on target), 6 corners, 2.07 expected goals.
Goals: S. Rondon 3' for CF Pachuca, A. Avila 58' for Club Queretaro, A. Avila 90+4' for Club Queretaro.
Head-to-head: CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro
- 27 July 2026CF Pachuca 1–2 Club QueretaroLiga MX
- 1 February 2026Club Queretaro 0–0 CF PachucaLiga MX
- 20 September 2025CF Pachuca 0–2 Club QueretaroLiga MX
- 30 January 2025Club Queretaro 0–1 CF PachucaLiga MX
- 31 August 2024CF Pachuca 1–1 Club QueretaroLiga MX
- 10 March 2024CF Pachuca 1–2 Club QueretaroLiga MX
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CF Pachuca the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.78 expected goals for CF Pachuca against 1.45 for Club Queretaro. CF Pachuca's attack/defence rating is 0.78/1.16 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.89/1.21 for Club Queretaro.