Zaglebie Lubin
vs
Piast Gliwice
Final score: Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 Piast Gliwice.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Zaglebie Lubin, 25% draw, 39% Piast Gliwice — fair odds of 2.78, 4.00 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Zaglebie Lubin 1.50, Piast Gliwice 1.58.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.
Model confidence: Low.
Model insights
Match stats: Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice
Zaglebie Lubin had 35% possession, 13 shots (2 on target), 5 corners, 1.09 expected goals; Piast Gliwice had 65% possession, 18 shots (2 on target), 11 corners, 0.75 expected goals.
Goals: J. Sypek 72' for Zaglebie Lubin, M. Regula 86' for Zaglebie Lubin.
Head-to-head: Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice
- 27 July 2026Zaglebie Lubin 2–0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
- 7 March 2026Piast Gliwice 1–3 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 30 August 2025Zaglebie Lubin 2–2 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
- 1 March 2025Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
- 24 August 2024Piast Gliwice 1–0 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 15 April 2024Piast Gliwice 2–0 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Piast Gliwice the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.5 expected goals for Zaglebie Lubin against 1.58 for Piast Gliwice. Zaglebie Lubin's attack/defence rating is 0.71/1.28 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.88/1.12 for Piast Gliwice.