27 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice Ekstraklasa prediction & result

KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 Piast Gliwice.

Before kick-off the model made it 23% Zaglebie Lubin, 24% draw, 53% Piast Gliwice — fair odds of 4.35, 4.17 and 1.89. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Piast Gliwice at 53% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁S. Kerkout: J. Sypek
46'
🔁M. Dziewiatowskiout: J. Kolan
46'
🔁M. Kosidisout: L. Szabo
46'
67'
🔁S. Muchaout: H. Vallejo
68'
Quentin Boisgard
⚽J. Sypekassist: M. Grzybek
72'
75'
🔁S. Ntamackout: A. Katsantonis
75'
🔁Q. Boisgardout: J. Felix
75'
🔁J. Lokiloout: L. Sanca
⚽M. Regulaassist: J. Sypek
86'
87'
🔁F. Borowskiout: E. Twumasi
Filip Szymczak
90+9'
🔁M. Grzybekout: D. Colina
90'
🔁M. Regulaout: F. Szymczak
90+5'

Match stats — Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice

35%Possession65%
13Shots18
2On target2
5Corners11
1.09xG0.75

Goals against chances

Zaglebie Lubin2 from 1.09 xGmore than the chances were worth
Piast Gliwice0 from 0.75 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Zaglebie Lubin 3-4-1-2
  • 33Z. AlomerovicG
  • 4D. MichalskiD
  • 25M. NalepaD
  • 5A. LawniczakD
  • 13M. GrzybekM
  • 39F. KocabaM
  • 20M. DziewiatowskiM
  • 16J. CorlukaM
  • 37S. KerkF
  • 44M. RegulaF
  • 9M. KosidisF
Substitutes
  • 95F. NowakG
  • 8D. DabrowskiM
  • 6D. ColinaD
  • 7J. SypekM
  • 88M. MlinaricF
  • 31I. OrlikowskiD
  • 26J. KolanM
  • 71K. NowogonskiM
  • 17L. SzaboF
Coach: Leszek Ojrzynski
Piast Gliwice 4-2-3-1
  • 75D. GrilG
  • 28F. BorowskiD
  • 5JuandeD
  • 29I. DrapinskiD
  • 36J. LewickiD
  • 31O. LesniakM
  • 27J. LabojkoM
  • 98J. LokiloM
  • 17Q. BoisgardM
  • 77S. MuchaM
  • 19S. NtamackF
Substitutes
  • 12M. Mendes-DudzinskiG
  • 4J. CzerwinskiD
  • 10A. KatsantonisF
  • 99E. TwumasiD
  • 80H. VallejoF
  • 90I. LimaM
  • 7J. FelixF
  • 11L. SancaM
  • 3E. FikajD
Coach: Daniel Mysliwiec

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Zaglebie Lubin733186+212
5Piast Gliwice84131513+213

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice

  • 27 July 2026Zaglebie Lubin 2–0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
  • 7 March 2026Piast Gliwice 1–3 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
  • 30 August 2025Zaglebie Lubin 2–2 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
  • 1 March 2025Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
  • 24 August 2024Piast Gliwice 1–0 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
  • 15 April 2024Piast Gliwice 2–0 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Zaglebie Lubin and Piast Gliwice

Zaglebie Lubin

No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Piast Gliwice

  • Leandro Sanca4 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.