Csikszereda
vs
Universitatea Craiova
Liga I prediction
Our model says: Csikszereda 0–2 Universitatea Craiova
The model makes it 18% Csikszereda, 25% draw, 57% Universitatea Craiova — fair odds of 5.56, 4.00 and 1.75. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (13%).
Expected goals: Csikszereda 0.72, Universitatea Craiova 2.14.
Both teams to score: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.
Model confidence: High.
Published
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Universitatea Craiova at 57% here. Across 2837 settled matches, 675 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova
Csikszereda
- L0-2away to Petrolul Ploiesti21 September 2026
- L1-3Dinamo Bucuresti11 September 2026
- L1-5away to Uta Arad5 September 2026
- L2-3CFR 1907 Cluj29 August 2026
- L0-1away to FC Botosani24 August 2026
Universitatea Craiova
- W5-0FCSB19 September 2026
- W1-0away to Corvinul Hunedoara13 September 2026
- W4-0Universitatea Cluj7 September 2026
- D1-1away to Rapid31 August 2026
- W3-1FC Voluntari23 August 2026
What these results say
- Csikszereda did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Csikszereda conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Csikszereda | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 1 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 9 | +15 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova
- 22 December 2025Universitatea Craiova 5–0 CsikszeredaLiga I
- 17 August 2025Csikszereda 1–2 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 28 February 2019Csikszereda 0–3 CS Universitatea CraiovaCupa României
Leading scorers: Csikszereda and Universitatea Craiova
Csikszereda
- M. Eppel4 goals
Universitatea Craiova
- A. Al Hamlawi4 goals
- S. Elisor4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Csikszereda carry a model rating of 6.08 against 6.78 for Universitatea Craiova. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 0.72 goals for Csikszereda and 2.14 for Universitatea Craiova. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Csikszereda rate 0.46 in attack and 2.13 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Universitatea Craiova rate 0.91 and 1.04.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Csikszereda a 0% chance of the title and Universitatea Craiova 33.4%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1326 correct results out of 2837 settled predictions (47%), with 271 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Universitatea Craiova the highest probability at 57%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.72 expected goals for Csikszereda against 2.14 for Universitatea Craiova. Csikszereda's attack/defence rating is 0.46/2.13 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.91/1.04 for Universitatea Craiova.