11 October 2026, 15:00 UTC

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova Liga I prediction & result

Stadionul Municipal, Miercurea Ciuc
Referee: Moroita·Andrei
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Csikszereda 0-1 Universitatea Craiova.

Before kick-off the model made it 14% Csikszereda, 22% draw, 64% Universitatea Craiova — fair odds of 7.14, 4.55 and 1.56.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Universitatea Craiova at 64%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Csikszereda0%Draw2%Universitatea Craiova98%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Máté Ódor
37'
45'
🔁David Mateiout: Luca Băsceanu
Albert Stahl
51'
57'
🔁Assad Al-Hamlawiout: Simon Elisor
71'
🔁Nikola Stevanovićout: Aime Steven Nsimba Labe
🔁Albert Stahlout: Szabolcs Szalay
72'
🔁Máté Ódorout: adam czekus
72'
🔁Szabolcs Nyitraout: Darius Bota
72'
76'
⚽Simon Elisor
🔁Gabriel Araújo Limaout: Dusan Vukovic
79'
81'
Simon Elisor
adam czekus
82'
84'
🔁Stefan Baiaramout: Alexandru Cretu
🔁Veres Szilardout: Nino Kukovec
84'

Match stats — Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova

36%Possession64%
14Shots24
3On target8
3Corners5
0.5xG2.44

Goals against chances

Csikszereda0 from 0.50 xGless than the chances were worth
Universitatea Craiova1 from 2.44 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Csikszereda 4-2-3-1
  • 94E. PapG
  • 22M. ÓdorD
  • 24J. HegedűsD
  • 3R. PalmeşD
  • 6L. PászkaD
  • 8S. VereșM
  • 13A. CsürösM
  • 20Gabriel Araújo LimaM
  • 90S. NyitraM
  • 77A. StahlM
  • 27M. EppelF
Substitutes
  • 79S. SzalayF
  • 4A. SzabóD
  • 14L. NovelliF
  • 30Z. MagyarM
  • 9N. KukovecF
  • 34M. KarácsonyG
  • 10Soufiane JebariM
  • 11A. HorváthM
  • 17Á. CzékusF
Coach: I. Szabó
Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3
  • 21L. PopescuG
  • 3O. RomanchukD
  • 24N. StevanovićD
  • 6V. ScreciuD
  • 17C. MoraM
  • 8T. BăluțăM
  • 20A. CicâldăuM
  • 11N. BancuM
  • 30D. MateiF
  • 9A. Al HamlawiF
  • 10Ș. BaiaramF
Substitutes
  • 29L. BăsceanuM
  • 4A. CrețuM
  • 22S. ElisorF
  • 1A. MaximG
  • 7S. NsimbaF
  • 5B. RouxD
  • 18M. RădulescuM
  • 16João LameiraM
  • 90R. SavaG
Coach: Filipe Coelho

Form going into Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova

Csikszereda

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Petrolul Ploiesti21 September 2026
  • L1-3Dinamo Bucuresti11 September 2026
  • L1-5away to Uta Arad5 September 2026
  • L2-3CFR 1907 Cluj29 August 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Botosani24 August 2026

Universitatea Craiova

All competitions we cover

  • W5-0FCSB19 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Corvinul Hunedoara13 September 2026
  • W4-0Universitatea Cluj7 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Rapid31 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Ararat-Armenia27 August 2026

What these results say

  • Csikszereda did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Csikszereda conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Universitatea Craiova scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Csikszereda151311928-196
1Universitatea Craiova1510323410+2433

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova

  • 22 December 2025Universitatea Craiova 5–0 CsikszeredaLiga I
  • 17 August 2025Csikszereda 1–2 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
  • 28 February 2019Csikszereda 0–3 CS Universitatea CraiovaCupa României

Leading scorers: Csikszereda and Universitatea Craiova

Csikszereda

GoalsAssists

  • M. Eppel50

Universitatea Craiova

GoalsAssists

  • S. Elisor90
  • A. Al Hamlawi70

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Universitatea Craiova won 1–0 at Csikszereda. The model had made a win for Universitatea Craiova its most likely outcome, at 64%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: Simon Elisor 76' for Universitatea Craiova. On expected goals it finished 0.50–2.44.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Csikszereda a 97.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 94.4% after a win, 96.7% after a draw, 97.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 97.7%, 0.6 points higher than before the match.

For Universitatea Craiova the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 40.6% going in: 44.0% after a win, 34.0% after a draw, 28.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 44.0%, 3.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Csikszereda v Universitatea Craiova has moved

First published on 26 Sep at 18% / 25% / 57% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 14% / 22% / 64%: the biggest move is Universitatea Craiova's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. Csikszereda win14%▼ −4
  2. Draw22%▼ −3
  3. Universitatea Craiova win64%▲ +7

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.