12 October 2026, 15:00 UTC

Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj Liga I prediction & result

Mioveni
Referee: Andrei Chivulete
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Arges Pitesti 0-1 CFR 1907 Cluj.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Arges Pitesti, 32% draw, 34% CFR 1907 Cluj — fair odds of 2.94, 3.13 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Arges Pitesti at 34%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Arges Pitesti0%Draw3%CFR 1907 Cluj97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

23'
Christopher Braun
58'
⚽Anton Krešić
🔁Ionut Laurentiu Radescuout: Xian Emmers
63'
🔁Vadim Rațăout: Oluwatobiloba Alagbe
64'
70'
🔁Lorenzo Bilibocout: Andres Emil Sfait
70'
🔁Ervin Omicout: Adi Nalić
🔁Taylor Luvamboout: Mendy Mamadou
74'
🔁Yanis Pirvuout: Gabriel Gheorghe
74'
Dorinel·Oancea
76'
82'
🔁Stefan Dražićout: Sergiu Buş
87'
Andres Emil Sfait
88'
🔁Christopher Braunout: Viktor Gyorgy Kun

Match stats — Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj

57%Possession43%
20Shots10
2On target3
7Corners2
1.79xG1.93

Goals against chances

Arges Pitesti0 from 1.79 xGless than the chances were worth
CFR 1907 Cluj1 from 1.93 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Arges Pitesti 4-4-2
  • 77I. NikićG
  • 26D. OanceaD
  • 2A. TofanD
  • 15Guilherme GaruttiD
  • 23F. BorţaD
  • 11Y. PîrvuM
  • 22V. RaţăM
  • 16I. RădescuM
  • 25Tiago GonçalvesM
  • 92T. LuvamboF
  • 17Ricardo MatosF
Substitutes
  • 69O. AdefunyibomiD
  • 14Andreas BalasaM
  • 96S. BalaureD
  • 34C. CăbuzG
  • 20P. DulceaM
  • 80X. EmmersM
  • 29G. GheorgheM
  • 8M. MamadouF
  • 19C. MicovschiF
Coach: Bogdan Andone
CFR 1907 Cluj 3-4-2-1
  • 31O. VâlceanuG
  • 3I. GelashviliD
  • 41A. KrešićD
  • 42R. PantalonD
  • 47C. BraunM
  • 6O. PerianuM
  • 18E. OmićM
  • 14Simão RochaM
  • 11A. CordeaM
  • 17L. BilibocM
  • 9S. DražićF
Substitutes
  • 99J. DumasF
  • 86V. KunM
  • 45M. CamoraD
  • 7A. NalićM
  • 29B. OmraniF
  • 66Cristian DavidM
  • 10A. PaunM
  • 77A. SfaitM
  • 96Á. TordaiG
Coach: M. Şumudică

Form going into Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj

Arges Pitesti

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Rapid18 September 2026
  • D1-1FC Botosani13 September 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Voluntari7 September 2026
  • L0-1Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe29 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Oțelul24 August 2026

CFR 1907 Cluj

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3Universitatea Cluj8 October 2026
  • W3-1FC Botosani19 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe12 September 2026
  • D0-0Farul Constanta4 September 2026
  • W3-2away to Csikszereda29 August 2026

What these results say

  • Arges Pitesti did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Arges Pitesti conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Arges Pitesti had two goals or fewer.
  • CFR 1907 Cluj scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • CFR 1907 Cluj conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for CFR 1907 Cluj had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Arges Pitesti154381017-715
9CFR 1907 Cluj155462021-119

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj

  • 22 May 2026CFR 1907 Cluj 1–1 Arges PitestiLiga I
  • 17 April 2026Arges Pitesti 0–1 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
  • 29 November 2025Arges Pitesti 3–0 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
  • 27 July 2025CFR 1907 Cluj 0–2 Arges PitestiLiga I
  • 29 October 2024Arges Pitesti 2–2 CFR 1907 ClujCupa României

Leading scorers: Arges Pitesti and CFR 1907 Cluj

Arges Pitesti

No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

CFR 1907 Cluj

GoalsAssists

  • S. Dražić71
  • A. Cordea62

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

CFR 1907 Cluj won 1–0 at Arges Pitesti. The goal: Anton Krešić 58' for CFR 1907 Cluj. On expected goals it finished 1.79–1.93.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Arges Pitesti a 22.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 16.1% after a win, 23.0% after a draw, 28.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 28.8%, 6.1 points higher than before the match.

For CFR 1907 Cluj the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 12.6% going in: 16.5% after a win, 11.1% after a draw, 9.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 16.5%, 3.9 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Arges Pitesti v CFR 1907 Cluj has moved

First published on 26 Sep at 32% / 33% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 34% / 32% / 34%: the biggest move is Arges Pitesti's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Arges Pitesti win34%▲ +2
  2. Draw32%▼ −1
  3. CFR 1907 Cluj win34%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.