Regular Season - 7 · 29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Csikszereda vs CFR 1907 Cluj Liga I prediction

Stadionul Municipal, Miercurea Ciuc

The model makes it 14% Csikszereda, 27% draw, 59% CFR 1907 Cluj — fair odds of 7.14, 3.70 and 1.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1 (17%).

Expected goals: Csikszereda 0.62, CFR 1907 Cluj 1.53.

Both teams to score: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 36%, under 2.5: 64%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

37%
Both teams to score
36%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines0-1 17%0-2 14%0-0 12%

Form going into this match

Csikszereda

  • L2-3away to Farul Constanta8 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Arges Pitesti31 July 2026
  • L0-2FCSB26 July 2026
  • L0-3away to Corvinul Hunedoara20 July 2026

CFR 1907 Cluj

  • L1-3away to Rapid2 August 2026
  • W5-0FC Voluntari27 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Oțelul18 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Csikszereda400429-70
13CFR 1907 Cluj310275+23

Where the two sides stand. Full tables

Head-to-head: Csikszereda vs CFR 1907 Cluj

  • 12 December 2025CFR 1907 Cluj 3–1 CsikszeredaLiga I
  • 16 October 2025Csikszereda 2–2 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I

Leading scorers

Csikszereda

No league goals recorded yet.

CFR 1907 Cluj

  • S. Dražić3 goals1 assists
  • A. Cordea3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

A clear gap in the ratings

Csikszereda carry a model rating of 6.02 against 6.65 for CFR 1907 Cluj. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

Recent form (most recent last): Csikszereda L-L-L-L; CFR 1907 Cluj L-W-L.

What the model expects

Under the hood the model expects 0.62 goals for Csikszereda and 1.53 for CFR 1907 Cluj. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

Csikszereda rate 0.35 in attack and 1.92 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; CFR 1907 Cluj rate 0.57 and 0.93.

That points to 36% for over two and a half goals and 37% for both teams to score.

The three most likely scorelines are 0-1 (17%), 0-2 (14%), 0-0 (12%).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 350 correct results out of 734 settled predictions (48%), with 70 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives CFR 1907 Cluj the highest probability at 59%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.62 expected goals for Csikszereda against 1.53 for CFR 1907 Cluj. Csikszereda's attack/defence rating is 0.35/1.92 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/0.93 for CFR 1907 Cluj.