Corvinul Hunedoara
vs
Dinamo Bucuresti
Liga I prediction
The model makes it 37% Corvinul Hunedoara, 30% draw, 33% Dinamo Bucuresti — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Corvinul Hunedoara 1.19, Dinamo Bucuresti 1.10.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%, under 2.5: 60%.
Model confidence: Low.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Corvinul Hunedoara
- D0-0away to FC Botosani10 August 2026
- D1-1Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe2 August 2026
- L0-2away to Farul Constanta25 July 2026
- W3-0Csikszereda20 July 2026
Dinamo Bucuresti
- W4-0FC Voluntari8 August 2026
- D1-1away to Oțelul31 July 2026
- W5-1Universitatea Craiova25 July 2026
- L0-1away to Petrolul Ploiesti19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
Corvinul Hunedoara
No league goals recorded yet.
Dinamo Bucuresti
- Alberto Soro2 goals1 assists
- A. Musi2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Corvinul Hunedoara carry a model rating of 6.58 against 6.64 for Dinamo Bucuresti. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): Corvinul Hunedoara W-L-D-D; Dinamo Bucuresti L-W-D-W.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.19 goals for Corvinul Hunedoara and 1.10 for Dinamo Bucuresti. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Corvinul Hunedoara rate 0.54 in attack and 1.02 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Dinamo Bucuresti rate 0.77 and 1.17.
That points to 40% for over two and a half goals and 47% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%).
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Dinamo Bucuresti, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 350 correct results out of 734 settled predictions (48%), with 70 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Corvinul Hunedoara the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.19 expected goals for Corvinul Hunedoara against 1.1 for Dinamo Bucuresti. Corvinul Hunedoara's attack/defence rating is 0.54/1.02 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.77/1.17 for Dinamo Bucuresti.