Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Universitatea Cluj 2-3 Petrolul Ploiesti.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Universitatea Cluj, 25% draw, 20% Petrolul Ploiesti — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Universitatea Cluj at 55% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti
Line-ups
- 1S. LefterG
- 24D. MikanovicD
- 6L. CristeaD
- 8D. CodreaD
- 27A. ChipciuD
- 7M. DrammehM
- 94O. BicM
- 18P. PinhoM
- 10D. NistorM
- 17J. LukicF
- 19I. MacalouF
- 93N. MichailG
- 21D. MoldovanG
- 12A. FridayM
- 22F. PouloloD
- 26J. CisseD
- 2A. ChintesD
- 59A. TecheresD
- 98G. SimionM
- 25A. AlievF
- 38L. ZimaG
- 22M. TutuD
- 4P. PappD
- 71B. MalulaD
- 2A. DumitrescuD
- 20S. HancaM
- 19L. Santos TeixeiraM
- 98R. JerdeaM
- 10A. J. Bran FloresM
- 7R. MartinsM
- 9D. N'LunduluF
- 1S. RadulescuG
- 66T. CapusaD
- 29K. LudewigD
- 18C. HuseynovD
- 24A. ZaianD
- 8Lucho VegaM
- 80M. IonitaM
- 21D. ParaschivM
- 28M. CostacheM
Form going into Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Cluj
- L1-2away to Dinamo Bucuresti22 August 2026
- W2-1Uta Arad17 August 2026
- W2-1FC Botosani3 August 2026
- L1-3away to Brann30 July 2026
- L0-1away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe26 July 2026
Petrolul Ploiesti
- L0-2Rapid21 August 2026
- W2-1away to FC Voluntari14 August 2026
- W1-0Oțelul7 August 2026
- L0-4away to Universitatea Craiova1 August 2026
- L0-1away to Arges Pitesti24 July 2026
What these results say
- Universitatea Cluj conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Universitatea Cluj scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Universitatea Cluj had three goals or more.
- Petrolul Ploiesti conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 18 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti
- 14 December 2025Petrolul Ploiesti 0–1 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 9 August 2025Universitatea Cluj 1–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 14 December 2024Universitatea Cluj 4–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 12 August 2024Petrolul Ploiesti 0–0 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 13 April 2024Universitatea Cluj 1–2 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 11 November 2023Universitatea Cluj 0–0 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
Leading scorers: Universitatea Cluj and Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Cluj
GoalsAssists
- A. Aliev62
- O. Mendy31
Petrolul Ploiesti
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.