Universitatea Cluj
vs
Petrolul Ploiesti
Liga I prediction
The model makes it 65% Universitatea Cluj, 23% draw, 12% Petrolul Ploiesti — fair odds of 1.54, 4.35 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (15%).
Expected goals: Universitatea Cluj 1.84, Petrolul Ploiesti 0.65.
Both teams to score: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 45%, under 2.5: 55%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Universitatea Cluj
- L1-2away to Dinamo Bucuresti22 August 2026
- W2-1Uta Arad17 August 2026
- W2-1FC Botosani3 August 2026
- L0-1away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe26 July 2026
- W2-1Farul Constanta19 July 2026
Petrolul Ploiesti
- L0-2Rapid21 August 2026
- W2-1away to FC Voluntari14 August 2026
- W1-0Oțelul9 August 2026
- L0-4away to Universitatea Craiova1 August 2026
- L0-1away to Arges Pitesti24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Universitatea Cluj | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti
- 14 December 2025Petrolul Ploiesti 0–1 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 9 August 2025Universitatea Cluj 1–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 14 December 2024Universitatea Cluj 4–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 12 August 2024Petrolul Ploiesti 0–0 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 13 April 2024Universitatea Cluj 1–2 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 11 November 2023Universitatea Cluj 0–0 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
Leading scorers
Universitatea Cluj
- A. Aliev4 goals2 assists
Petrolul Ploiesti
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Universitatea Cluj carry a model rating of 6.38 against 6.01 for Petrolul Ploiesti. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Universitatea Cluj W-L-W-W-L; Petrolul Ploiesti L-L-W-W-L.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.84 goals for Universitatea Cluj and 0.65 for Petrolul Ploiesti. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Universitatea Cluj rate 0.50 in attack and 1.33 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Petrolul Ploiesti rate 0.35 and 1.95.
That points to 45% for over two and a half goals and 41% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (14%), 1-1 (10%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 542 correct results out of 1143 settled predictions (47%), with 104 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Universitatea Cluj the highest probability at 65%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.84 expected goals for Universitatea Cluj against 0.65 for Petrolul Ploiesti. Universitatea Cluj's attack/defence rating is 0.5/1.33 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.35/1.95 for Petrolul Ploiesti.