Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Cruz Azul 1-0 Santos Laguna.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Cruz Azul, 27% draw, 26% Santos Laguna — fair odds of 2.13, 3.70 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cruz Azul at 47% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna
Cruz Azul
- W3-1away to Necaxa29 August 2026
- L0-2Atlas23 August 2026
- L1-2away to Club Tijuana17 August 2026
Santos Laguna
- D0-0Tigres UANL30 August 2026
- L2-3away to Puebla23 August 2026
- L0-1Guadalajara Chivas17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Cruz Azul and Santos Laguna
Cruz Azul
- J. Márquez3 goals1 assists
- N. Ibáñez3 goals
- J. Paradela2 goals4 assists
Santos Laguna
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.