Liga MX · Apertura - 3 · 2 August 2026, 03:00 UTC

Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC

Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

The model makes it 66% Cruz Azul, 20% draw, 14% Atlante FC — fair odds of 1.52, 5.00 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).

Expected goals: Cruz Azul 2.14, Atlante FC 0.86.

Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

51%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines2-0 11%1-0 10%2-1 10%

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Cruz Azul the highest probability at 66%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.14 expected goals for Cruz Azul against 0.86 for Atlante FC. Cruz Azul's attack/defence rating is 0.81/1.12 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.55/1.4 for Atlante FC.