Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Cracovia Krakow 0-1 Gornik Zabrze.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Cracovia Krakow, 27% draw, 30% Gornik Zabrze — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cracovia Krakow at 43% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze
Line-ups
- 13S. MadejskiG
- 25O. KakabadzeD
- 4G. HenrikssonD
- 61B. TraoreD
- 39M. PerkovicD
- 43M. KlichM
- 6A. Al AmmariM
- 14A. HasicM
- 20K. KnapM
- 47S. LtaiefM
- 11L. NordasF
- 23H. RavasG
- 77J. ChrapustaG
- 28V. BurletD
- 15K. GlikD
- 22D. BaumgartnerD
- 7M. PraszelikM
- 79D. PilaD
- 70D. KameriM
- 5B. SelanM
- 1P. SchulzeG
- 61M. SacekD
- 26R. JanickiD
- 20JosemaD
- 64E. JanzaD
- 14J. KubickiM
- 82K. UrbanskiM
- 8P. BernardoM
- 7Y. Ikia DimiF
- 9J. AntisteF
- 33M. KhlanF
- 99T. LoskaG
- 4P. BochniewiczD
- 21O. ZmrzlyD
- 2P. WarczakD
- 66M. DietzD
- 3M. SynosD
- 18L. SadilekM
- 28B. DonioM
- 23S. LisethF
Form going into Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze
Cracovia Krakow
- L1-2away to Radomiak Radom29 August 2026
Gornik Zabrze
- W2-1away to Raków Częstochowa3 September 2026
- L2-3GKS Katowice30 August 2026
- L1-4away to Monaco27 August 2026
- L2-3Monaco20 August 2026
- W2-1Wisla Krakow16 August 2026
What these results say
- Gornik Zabrze scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Gornik Zabrze conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Gornik Zabrze had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cracovia Krakow | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze
- 6 September 2026Cracovia Krakow 0–1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- 4 April 2026Gornik Zabrze 3–0 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
- 27 September 2025Cracovia Krakow 1–1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- 28 February 2025Gornik Zabrze 0–1 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
- 24 August 2024Cracovia Krakow 3–2 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- 3 May 2024Cracovia Krakow 5–0 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Cracovia Krakow and Gornik Zabrze
Cracovia Krakow
GoalsAssists
- A. Hasić52
Gornik Zabrze
GoalsAssists
- K. UrbaÅski41
- Peter40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.