Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Wieczysta Kraków 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Wieczysta Kraków, 28% draw, 31% Zaglebie Lubin — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Wieczysta Kraków at 41% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin
Line-ups
- 26N. ČavlinaG
- 4K. FilaD
- 24M. WieteskaD
- 16A. MilićD
- 33K. PestkaD
- 12Lucas PiazónM
- 20M. MaigaardM
- 10T. ChristensenM
- 7Lisandro SemedoF
- 9E. KoulourisF
- 88C. LungoyiF
- 21B. BiałekF
- 17K. DankowskiD
- 19José de la RosaF
- 15A. ĐermanovićD
- 55D. DujmovićD
- 11N. KneževićM
- 8B. LedermanM
- 23Miki VillarM
- 1A. MikułkoG
- 33Z. AlomerovićG
- 13M. GrzybekD
- 5A. ŁawniczakD
- 25M. NalepaD
- 4D. MichalskiD
- 3R. YakubaD
- 88M. MlinarićM
- 26J. KolanM
- 39F. KocabaM
- 37S. KerkM
- 44M. RegułaF
- 11A. WoźniakM
- 18F. SzymczakF
- 7J. SypekM
- 31I. OrlikowskiD
- 71K. NowogońskiM
- 19S. ŁyczkoM
- 9M. KosidisF
- 20M. DziewiatowskiM
- 8D. DąbrowskiM
Form going into Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin
Wieczysta Kraków
- L0-2away to Wisla Krakow29 August 2026
- L2-3away to Cracovia Krakow21 August 2026
- W4-3away to Piast Gliwice15 August 2026
- L1-2Lech Poznan1 August 2026
- L1-2away to Radomiak Radom24 July 2026
Zaglebie Lubin
- D0-0Pogon Szczecin29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Radomiak Radom23 August 2026
- W2-1Slask Wroclaw15 August 2026
- W3-2away to Raków Częstochowa9 August 2026
- L1-3away to Legia Warszawa2 August 2026
What these results say
- Wieczysta Kraków conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Wieczysta Kraków failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Wieczysta Kraków scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | Zaglebie Lubin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin
- 7 September 2026Wieczysta Kraków 1–1 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Wieczysta Kraków and Zaglebie Lubin
Wieczysta Kraków
GoalsAssists
- Lucas Piazón32
Zaglebie Lubin
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.