Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Colorado Rapids 1-0 Real Salt Lake.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Colorado Rapids, 25% draw, 23% Real Salt Lake — fair odds of 1.92, 4.00 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Colorado Rapids at 52% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31A. BeaudryG
- 4R. CannonD
- 6R. HoldingD
- 5L. WilliamsD
- 29M. NavarroD
- 8H. OjediranM
- 13W. FrederickM
- 10P. AaronsonM
- 88Y. MazizM
- 93G. MinoungouM
- 9Rafael NavarroF
- 61B. DowdG
- 33K. ThompsonD
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 24N. CobbD
- 12J. AtencioM
- 49N. TchoumbaM
- 77D. YapiF
- 16A. HarrisF
- 32D. PhillipF
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 3K. HenryD
- 21J. J. AriasD
- 29S. JunquaD
- 2D. YedlinM
- 7P. RuizM
- 92N. CaliskanM
- 98A. KatranisM
- 39A. HezarkhaniF
- 22S. SolansF
- 9M. GuilavoguiF
- 31M. StajduharG
- 4L. EngelD
- 10D. LunaM
- 25C. GuskeM
- 8J. SanabriaM
- 34L. MoisaM
- 12S. LobjanidzeM
- 11D. MarczukF
- 70Lineker RodriguesF
Form going into Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
- L0-3away to San Diego23 August 2026
- W1-0Los Angeles FC20 August 2026
- W2-0Sporting Kansas City16 August 2026
- W1-0Austin2 August 2026
- L0-1away to St. Louis City26 July 2026
Real Salt Lake
- L1-2away to Orlando City SC22 August 2026
- L3-4FC Dallas20 August 2026
- D1-1Minnesota United FC16 August 2026
- D1-1away to St. Louis City2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Portland Timbers26 July 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Colorado Rapids had two goals or fewer.
- Real Salt Lake did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Real Salt Lake scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Real Salt Lake conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake
- 17 May 2026Real Salt Lake 2–1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 5 October 2025Real Salt Lake 1–0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 18 May 2025Colorado Rapids 1–0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 21 July 2024Colorado Rapids 3–2 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 19 May 2024Real Salt Lake 5–3 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 10 March 2024Real Salt Lake 1–2 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer