Liga MX · Apertura - 3 · 1 August 2026, 03:00 UTC

Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana

Estadio Libertad Financiera

The model makes it 26% Atletico San Luis, 19% draw, 55% Club Tijuana — fair odds of 3.85, 5.26 and 1.82. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2 (7%).

Expected goals: Atletico San Luis 1.91, Club Tijuana 2.72.

Both teams to score: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%, under 2.5: 16%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

80%
Both teams to score
84%
Over 2.5 goals
16%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-2 7%2-2 7%1-3 6%

Head-to-head: Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana

  • 18 January 2026Club Tijuana 1–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
  • 15 September 2025Atletico San Luis 1–1 Club TijuanaLiga MX
  • 11 April 2025Club Tijuana 2–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
  • 20 July 2024Atletico San Luis 1–1 Club TijuanaLiga MX
  • 17 February 2024Atletico San Luis 3–3 Club TijuanaLiga MX
  • 9 October 2023Club Tijuana 2–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Club Tijuana the highest probability at 55%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.91 expected goals for Atletico San Luis against 2.72 for Club Tijuana. Atletico San Luis's attack/defence rating is 0.82/1.83 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.06/1.23 for Club Tijuana.