Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Atletico San Luis 0-0 Club Tijuana.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Atletico San Luis, 19% draw, 55% Club Tijuana — fair odds of 3.85, 5.26 and 1.82. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Club Tijuana at 55% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Andrés SánchezG
- 3Robson BambuD
- 14Miguel Alonso GarcíaD
- 31Eduardo ÁguilaD
- 21Oscar MacíasM
- 2Román TorresM
- 11David RodriguezM
- 10Sébastien Salles-LamongeM
- 16Lucas EstevesM
- 20Leonardo FloresF
- 22SergioF
- 18Aldo CruzD
- 99Felipe MoraF
- 8Ronaldo NájeraM
- 17Anderson DuarteF
- 19Santiago MuñozF
- 25Gibran LajudG
- 30Benjamín GalindoD
- 13Johan CaicedoM
- 26Sebastián Pérez BouquetM
- 2Antonio RodríguezG
- 3Rafael FernándezD
- 12Jackson PorozoD
- 6Jesús GómezD
- 33Pablo Nicolás OrtízD
- 8Iván TonaM
- 17Ramiro ÁrcigaM
- 34Frank BoyaM
- 10Gilberto MoraM
- 7Adonis PreciadoM
- 19Diego AbreuF
- 15José RiveroM
- 31Yael PadillaF
- 9Mourad El GhezouaniF
- 16Jesús VegaD
- 29Jorge HernándezG
- 18Aarón MejíaF
- 188Alejandro MagallonD
- 20Ángel ZapataM
- 26Aldahir PérezM
Form going into Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana
Atletico San Luis
- D2-2away to Tigres UANL26 July 2026
- L2-3Cruz Azul18 July 2026
Club Tijuana
- W1-0Leon25 July 2026
- W3-1Tigres UANL17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana
- 1 August 2026Atletico San Luis 0–0 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 18 January 2026Club Tijuana 1–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 15 September 2025Atletico San Luis 1–1 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 11 April 2025Club Tijuana 2–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 20 July 2024Atletico San Luis 1–1 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 17 February 2024Atletico San Luis 3–3 Club TijuanaLiga MX
Leading scorers: Atletico San Luis and Club Tijuana
Atletico San Luis
- Rafa Llorente3 goals
Club Tijuana
- G. Mora4 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.