19 July 2026

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti Liga I prediction & result

Full time1 – 0

Final score: Petrolul Ploiesti 1-0 Dinamo Bucuresti.

Before kick-off the model made it 22% Petrolul Ploiesti, 22% draw, 56% Dinamo Bucuresti — fair odds of 4.55, 4.55 and 1.79. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published 29 August 2026 · updated 15 September 2026

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Dinamo Bucuresti at 56% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'

Andrei Mărginean

37'

Martín Pascual

⚽R. Martins (pen)

39'

54'

Maxime Sivis

🔁K. Ludewigout: D. N'Lundulu

57'

🔁M. Ionitaout: M. Tutu

57'

Mark Țuțu

58'

🔁A. Popout: O. Hintsa

Adam Zaian

65'

Robert Jerdea

67'

68'

🔁A. Soroout: M. Karamoko

68'

🔁A. Musiout: I. Tarba

🔁R. Jerdeaout: I. Tolea

74'

🔁L. Santos Teixeiraout: A. Chica-Rosa

74'

🔁R. Martinsout: L. Argesanu

74'

Dan N'Lundulu

82'

🔁M. Pascualout: C. Mihai

82'

🔁R. Oprutout: R. Radu

Match stats — Petrolul Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti

32%Possession68%

8Shots22

3On target3

3Corners6

1.35xG2.16

Goals against chances

Petrolul Ploiesti1 from 1.35 xGabout what the chances were worth

Dinamo Bucuresti0 from 2.16 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Petrolul Ploiesti 5-3-2

38L. ZimaG
29K. LudewigD
66T. CapusaD
4P. PappD
24A. ZaianD
2A. DumitrescuD
80M. IonitaM
20S. HancaM
7R. MartinsM
19L. Santos TeixeiraF
98R. JerdeaF

Substitutes

12S. GeorgescuG
1S. RadulescuG
11I. ToleaM
97A. DumitracheM
21D. ParaschivM
40R. ManolacheF
17D. N'LunduluF
9A. Chica-RosaF
22M. TutuD

Coach: Ricardo Sousa

Dinamo Bucuresti 4-4-2

36A. BellaarouchG
27M. SivisD
44M. PascualD
15N. StoinovD
31R. OprutD
77D. ArmstrongM
29A. SoroM
90I. MargineanM
10C. CirjanM
7A. MusiF
99A. PopF

Substitutes

1D. EpassyG
18O. HintsaF
6C. LicsandruM
30M. Dutu
9M. KaramokoF
21C. MihaiM
26A. MaziluF
23I. TarbaF
98A. IrimiaM

Coach: Nuno Campos

Liga I table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	9	5	1	3	11	12	-1	16
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	9	6	2	1	19	7	+12	20

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti

19 July 2026Petrolul Ploiesti 1–0 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
30 January 2026Dinamo Bucuresti 1–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
15 September 2025Petrolul Ploiesti 0–3 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
18 December 2024Dinamo Bucuresti 0–0 Petrolul PloiestiCupa României
24 November 2024Petrolul Ploiesti 0–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
21 July 2024Dinamo Bucuresti 4–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I

Leading scorers: Petrolul Ploiesti and Dinamo Bucuresti