19 July 2026

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti Liga I prediction & result

Full time1 – 0

Final score: Petrolul Ploiesti 1-0 Dinamo Bucuresti.

Before kick-off the model made it 22% Petrolul Ploiesti, 22% draw, 56% Dinamo Bucuresti — fair odds of 4.55, 4.55 and 1.79. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Dinamo Bucuresti at 56% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
Andrei Mărginean
37'
Martín Pascual
⚽R. Martins (pen)
39'
54'
Maxime Sivis
🔁K. Ludewigout: D. N'Lundulu
57'
🔁M. Ionitaout: M. Tutu
57'
Mark Țuțu
58'
58'
🔁A. Popout: O. Hintsa
Adam Zaian
65'
Robert Jerdea
67'
68'
🔁A. Soroout: M. Karamoko
68'
🔁A. Musiout: I. Tarba
🔁R. Jerdeaout: I. Tolea
74'
🔁L. Santos Teixeiraout: A. Chica-Rosa
74'
🔁R. Martinsout: L. Argesanu
74'
Dan N'Lundulu
82'
82'
🔁M. Pascualout: C. Mihai
82'
🔁R. Oprutout: R. Radu

Match stats — Petrolul Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti

32%Possession68%
8Shots22
3On target3
3Corners6
1.35xG2.16

Goals against chances

Petrolul Ploiesti1 from 1.35 xGabout what the chances were worth
Dinamo Bucuresti0 from 2.16 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Petrolul Ploiesti 5-3-2
  • 38L. ZimaG
  • 29K. LudewigD
  • 66T. CapusaD
  • 4P. PappD
  • 24A. ZaianD
  • 2A. DumitrescuD
  • 80M. IonitaM
  • 20S. HancaM
  • 7R. MartinsM
  • 19L. Santos TeixeiraF
  • 98R. JerdeaF
Substitutes
  • 12S. GeorgescuG
  • 1S. RadulescuG
  • 11I. ToleaM
  • 97A. DumitracheM
  • 21D. ParaschivM
  • 40R. ManolacheF
  • 17D. N'LunduluF
  • 9A. Chica-RosaF
  • 22M. TutuD
Coach: Ricardo Sousa
Dinamo Bucuresti 4-4-2
  • 36A. BellaarouchG
  • 27M. SivisD
  • 44M. PascualD
  • 15N. StoinovD
  • 31R. OprutD
  • 77D. ArmstrongM
  • 29A. SoroM
  • 90I. MargineanM
  • 10C. CirjanM
  • 7A. MusiF
  • 99A. PopF
Substitutes
  • 1D. EpassyG
  • 18O. HintsaF
  • 6C. LicsandruM
  • 30M. Dutu
  • 9M. KaramokoF
  • 21C. MihaiM
  • 26A. MaziluF
  • 23I. TarbaF
  • 98A. IrimiaM
Coach: Nuno Campos

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Petrolul Ploiesti137241817+123
1Dinamo Bucuresti13931299+2030

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti

  • 30 January 2026Dinamo Bucuresti 1–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
  • 15 September 2025Petrolul Ploiesti 0–3 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
  • 18 December 2024Dinamo Bucuresti 0–0 Petrolul PloiestiCupa României
  • 24 November 2024Petrolul Ploiesti 0–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
  • 21 July 2024Dinamo Bucuresti 4–1 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I

Leading scorers: Petrolul Ploiesti and Dinamo Bucuresti

Petrolul Ploiesti

GoalsAssists

  • Rodrigo Martins42

Dinamo Bucuresti

GoalsAssists

  • D. Armstrong510
  • Martín Pascual50
  • Alberto Soro42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Petrolul Ploiesti beat Dinamo Bucuresti 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Dinamo Bucuresti at 56% and given a win for Petrolul Ploiesti 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goal: R. Martins (penalty) 39' for Petrolul Ploiesti. On expected goals it finished 1.35–2.16.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.