Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Teplice 0-2 Zbrojovka Brno.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Teplice, 25% draw, 33% Zbrojovka Brno — fair odds of 2.38, 4.00 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Teplice at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29Matouš TrmalG
- 6Michal BílekD
- 4Oskars VientiessD
- 28Dalibor VečerkaD
- 25Matej RizničD
- 8Jan FortelnýM
- 23Lukáš MarečekM
- 35Matej RadostaM
- 12Marcel ČermákM
- 17John AutaM
- 10Matej PulkrabF
- 21Idris HopiF
- 33Tomas ZlatohlavekF
- 31Krystof LichtenbergG
- 13Denys TaradudaD
- 3Josef ŠvandaM
- 19Robert JuklM
- 37Daniel MarečekM
- 16Petr KodesM
- 14Ladislav KrejčíM
- 1Adam HrdinaG
- 39Jakub KlímaD
- 26Filip VedralD
- 3Kauan Carneiro KakaD
- 44Amadou DanteD
- 8Patrik ČavošM
- 68Jakub JanetzkýM
- 10Antonin VanicekM
- 29Patrik ŽitnýM
- 11Martin RymarenkoM
- 15Daniel VašulínF
- 7Štěpán LangerM
- 6Lukas PenxaD
- 24Dominik SváčekG
- 4Eric HunalD
- 17Jaromír ZmrhalM
- 25Tomáš BřečkaD
- 20Lukáš SaalM
- 19Bienvenue KanakimanaF
- 31Martin GjorgievskiM
Form going into Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno
Teplice
All competitions we cover
- L1-4away to Sparta Praha15 August 2026
- D5-5Plzen8 August 2026
- W1-0away to Slovan Liberec1 August 2026
- W3-1Bohemians 190525 July 2026
Zbrojovka Brno
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Slovan Liberec7 August 2026
- D1-1away to Plzen1 August 2026
- W3-1Sparta Praha25 July 2026
What these results say
- Teplice scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Teplice conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Teplice had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Teplice | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Zbrojovka Brno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno
- 27 March 2026Zbrojovka Brno 3–1 TepliceFriendlies Clubs
- 24 September 2025Zbrojovka Brno 2–1 TepliceCup
- 24 May 2023Teplice 1–1 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
- 12 March 2023Teplice 1–1 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
- 17 November 2022Teplice 2–3 Zbrojovka BrnoCup
Leading scorers: Teplice and Zbrojovka Brno
Teplice
GoalsAssists
- M. Pulkrab43
- John Auta40
Zbrojovka Brno
GoalsAssists
- D. Vašulín50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Zbrojovka Brno won 2–0 at Teplice. The model had leaned towards a win for Teplice at 42% and given a win for Zbrojovka Brno 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: A. Vanicek 41' for Zbrojovka Brno, A. Vanicek 72' for Zbrojovka Brno. On expected goals it finished 0.50–0.38.