Clermont Foot
vs
RED Star FC 93
Ligue 2 prediction
Our model says: Clermont Foot 0–1 RED Star FC 93
The model makes it 34% Clermont Foot, 31% draw, 35% RED Star FC 93 — fair odds of 2.94, 3.23 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Clermont Foot 1.12, RED Star FC 93 1.15.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%, under 2.5: 60%.
Model confidence: Low.
A tight game: Clermont Foot and RED Star FC 93 are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93
Has the model earned this number?
It puts RED Star FC 93 at 35% here. Across 2837 settled matches, 2175 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93
Clermont Foot
- D1-1away to Grenoble18 September 2026
- D0-0Boulogne11 September 2026
- D1-1away to Dunkerque4 September 2026
- D0-0Sochaux28 August 2026
- D1-1Dijon21 August 2026
RED Star FC 93
- W3-1away to Guingamp19 September 2026
- W1-0Metz14 September 2026
- W2-1away to Laval4 September 2026
- L1-4Reims29 August 2026
- D1-1away to Boulogne21 August 2026
What these results say
- Clermont Foot went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Clermont Foot did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Clermont Foot had two goals or fewer.
- RED Star FC 93 scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- RED Star FC 93 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for RED Star FC 93.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 2 | RED Star FC 93 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93
- 20 March 2026Clermont Foot 0–1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
- 22 November 2025RED Star FC 93 2–2 Clermont FootLigue 2
- 25 April 2025RED Star FC 93 1–1 Clermont FootLigue 2
- 24 September 2024Clermont Foot 1–1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
- 15 March 2019RED Star FC 93 0–4 Clermont FootLigue 2
- 19 October 2018Clermont Foot 0–0 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
Leading scorers: Clermont Foot and RED Star FC 93
Clermont Foot
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
RED Star FC 93
- D. Durand4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Clermont Foot carry a model rating of 6.39 against 6.48 for RED Star FC 93. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.12 goals for Clermont Foot and 1.15 for RED Star FC 93. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Clermont Foot rate 0.52 in attack and 1.35 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; RED Star FC 93 rate 0.70 and 1.46.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Clermont Foot a 0.1% chance of the title and RED Star FC 93 1%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1326 correct results out of 2837 settled predictions (47%), with 271 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives RED Star FC 93 the highest probability at 35%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.12 expected goals for Clermont Foot against 1.15 for RED Star FC 93. Clermont Foot's attack/defence rating is 0.52/1.35 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.7/1.46 for RED Star FC 93.