Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93 Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Clermont Foot 2-3 RED Star FC 93.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Clermont Foot, 30% draw, 35% RED Star FC 93 — fair odds of 2.86, 3.33 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Clermont Foot at 35%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30T. GuivarchG
- 93I. CoulibalyD
- 21Y. SalmierD
- 4E. KabeyaD
- 6E. KonéD
- 5J. GrillotM
- 77E. CanteroM
- 26R. KouaméM
- 22Marouane AdmarM
- 7F. BianchiniM
- 9Luís SemedoF
- 10J. SambiaD
- 23A. HunouM
- 17O. DiopF
- 13J. AsticM
- 28I. M'BahiaD
- 16M. NdiayeG
- 39J. Nyindong TsamounaF
- 90C. OkouF
- 3A. PelmardD
- 16G. PoussinG
- 2T. MagninD
- 20D. DurivauxD
- 5J. EscartinD
- 4E. ZidaneD
- 19I. HalifaM
- 17S. RenelM
- 11K. CisséM
- 10S. KhaouiM
- 7D. DurandM
- 23J. Ikanga A NgeleF
- 80C. Bianay BalcotD
- 6B. DangerD
- 9I. DespotovicF
- 3M. HuardD
- 45Cheick KonateM
- 27G. KyeremehF
- 21Idrissa SabalyM
- 1Yanis Benchaouch MartyG
- 25Leonardo ButaD
Form going into Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93
Clermont Foot
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Grenoble18 September 2026
- D0-0Boulogne11 September 2026
- D1-1away to Dunkerque4 September 2026
- D0-0Sochaux28 August 2026
- D1-1Dijon21 August 2026
RED Star FC 93
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to Guingamp19 September 2026
- W1-0Metz14 September 2026
- W2-1away to Laval4 September 2026
- L1-4Reims29 August 2026
- D1-1away to Boulogne21 August 2026
What these results say
- Clermont Foot went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Clermont Foot did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Clermont Foot had two goals or fewer.
- RED Star FC 93 scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- RED Star FC 93 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for RED Star FC 93.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clermont Foot | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | RED Star FC 93 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93
- 20 March 2026Clermont Foot 0–1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
- 22 November 2025RED Star FC 93 2–2 Clermont FootLigue 2
- 25 April 2025RED Star FC 93 1–1 Clermont FootLigue 2
- 24 September 2024Clermont Foot 1–1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
- 15 March 2019RED Star FC 93 0–4 Clermont FootLigue 2
Leading scorers: Clermont Foot and RED Star FC 93
Clermont Foot
GoalsAssists
- F. Bianchini41
RED Star FC 93
GoalsAssists
- D. Durand50
- J. Ikanga A Ngele42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
RED Star FC 93 won 3–2 at Clermont Foot. The goals: Jovany Ikanga A Ngele 7' for RED Star FC 93, Enzo Cantero 22' for Clermont Foot, Damien Durand 55' for RED Star FC 93, Jovany Ikanga A Ngele 68' for RED Star FC 93, Florian Bianchini (penalty) 90' for Clermont Foot. On expected goals it finished 1.75–2.35.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Clermont Foot a 26.4% chance to finish in the bottom three: 20.9% after a win, 27.1% after a draw, 30.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 30.5%, 4.1 points higher than before the match.
For RED Star FC 93 the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 38.2% going in: 44.9% after a win, 36.2% after a draw, 32.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 44.9%, 6.7 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Ligue 2 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.