10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC

Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami Major League Soccer prediction & result

Soldier Field, Chicago
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Chicago Fire 1-1 Inter Miami.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Chicago Fire, 27% draw, 34% Inter Miami — fair odds of 2.56, 3.70 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Chicago Fire at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Chicago Fire5%Draw91%Inter Miami4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
Telasco Segovia
⚽Robert Lewandowskiassist: Andrew Gutman
10'
24'
Maximiliano Falcon
48'
⚽Carlos Henrique Casimiroassist: Lionel Messi
Jonathan Dean
50'
🔁Robin Lodout: Puso Dithejane
56'
Djé D'Avilla
59'
🔁Jonathan Deanout: Leonardo José Caetano Barroso
67'
🔁Maren Haile-Selassieout: Sergio Oregel
67'
71'
Germán Berterame
78'
🔁Fricio Caicedoout: Facundo Mura
78'
🔁Telasco Segoviaout: Alexander Shaw
🔁Anton Saletrosout: Mauricio Pineda
90+4'

Match stats — Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami

44%Possession56%
10Shots20
3On target8
2Corners5

Line-ups

Chicago Fire 4-4-2
  • 1C. BradyG
  • 24J. DeanD
  • 3J. ElliottD
  • 32N. AllenD
  • 15A. GutmanD
  • 11P. ZinckernagelM
  • 6A. SaletrosM
  • 42D. D'AvillaM
  • 7M. Haile-SelassieM
  • 9R. LewandowskiF
  • 17R. LodF
Substitutes
  • 44J. CohenG
  • 5S. RogersD
  • 22M. PinedaD
  • 2L. BarrosoD
  • 29D. PorebaM
  • 35S. OregelM
  • 37R. TurdeanM
  • 18J. GomezF
  • 12P. DithejaneF
Coach: Mario Barcena
Inter Miami 4-3-1-2
  • 97D. St.ClairG
  • 17I. FrayD
  • 5CasemiroD
  • 37M. FalconD
  • 15F. CaicedoD
  • 7R. de PaulM
  • 42Y. BrightM
  • 8T. SegoviaM
  • 19G. BerterameM
  • 10L. MessiF
  • 9L. SuarezF
Substitutes
  • 34R. RiosG
  • 4F. MuraD
  • 76C. Abadia-RedaD
  • 70D. SumallaD
  • 22D. AyalaM
  • 59P. PlambeckM
  • 88A. ShawM
  • 56D. PinterF
  • 54L. DelinoisF
Coach: Kily Gonzalez

Form going into Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami

Chicago Fire

All competitions we cover

  • D4-4away to Toronto FC5 September 2026
  • D2-2away to Seattle Sounders29 August 2026
  • D1-1away to New York Red Bulls22 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Orlando City SC19 August 2026
  • W2-1Portland Timbers16 August 2026

Inter Miami

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Atlanta United FC5 September 2026
  • W7-1CF Montreal29 August 2026
  • L1-2Toronto FC22 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Philadelphia Union19 August 2026
  • L1-4away to Nashville SC16 August 2026

What these results say

  • Chicago Fire went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Chicago Fire scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Chicago Fire conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Inter Miami scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Inter Miami conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Inter Miami had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Chicago Fire32157105748+952
3Inter Miami32151167555+2056

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami

  • 22 July 2026Inter Miami 3–2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
  • 30 September 2025Inter Miami 3–5 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
  • 13 April 2025Chicago Fire 0–0 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
  • 1 September 2024Chicago Fire 1–4 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
  • 20 July 2024Inter Miami 2–1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Chicago Fire and Inter Miami

Chicago Fire

No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 57 league goals as a side.

Inter Miami

GoalsAssists

  • L. Messi2512
  • L. Suárez156

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Chicago Fire and Inter Miami drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Chicago Fire at 39% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Robert Lewandowski 10' for Chicago Fire, Carlos Henrique Casimiro 48' for Inter Miami.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.