Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Wadi Degla 0-2 El Mokawloon.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Wadi Degla, 26% draw, 26% El Mokawloon — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Wadi Degla at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon
Line-ups
- 1Amr HossamG
- 2Shady MaherD
- 28S. TekaD
- 6Kamal Abou ElfetouhD
- 21Ahmed RedaD
- 25Ibrahim El BahnasiM
- 19A. MahmoudM
- 10Mahmoud DiastyM
- 14Mohamed Abdel AatiM
- 22ZizoM
- 32Ahmed FaroukF
- 13Z. SeyamG
- 20Mohamed JuhaynaM
- 3Omar AdlyD
- 17H. HassanF
- 34M. KaandorpM
- 8Ahmed ScholesM
- 7Youssef OyaF
- 5Ahmed DahrougD
- 27Ahmed RefaatF
- 18Mohamed FawziG
- 26Ahmed Magdy KahrabaD
- 4Hassan HusseinD
- 3Mohamed HamedD
- 23J. OchayaD
- 6D. DokouM
- 12Omar El WahshM
- 20Islam GaberM
- 14Mostafa GamalM
- 29Omar KamalM
- 99Shady HusseinF
- 92Idrissa ThiamF
- 15M. SandouqaM
- 1Mahmoud Abou El SaoudG
- 24Nader HeshamD
- 17M. RifaatF
- 7Anas BaniowdaF
- 28Ibrahim AdelM
- 19A. Aouled BehiM
- 2Youssef Ahmed RamadanD
Form going into Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon
Wadi Degla
Premier League
- L1-2away to Future FC9 September 2026
El Mokawloon
Premier League
- D1-1Al Ahly9 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wadi Degla | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
| 7 | El Mokawloon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon
- 18 May 2026El Mokawloon 1–1 Wadi DeglaPremier League
- 5 February 2026Wadi Degla 0–1 El MokawloonPremier League
- 25 April 2025Wadi Degla 0–1 El MokawloonSecond League
- 15 December 2024El Mokawloon 0–0 Wadi DeglaSecond League
- 22 April 2021El Mokawloon 1–0 Wadi DeglaPremier League
The result against the call
El Mokawloon won 2–0 at Wadi Degla. The model had leaned towards a win for Wadi Degla at 48% and given a win for El Mokawloon 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Idrissa Thiam 80' for El Mokawloon, Mostafa Gamal (penalty) 90+4' for El Mokawloon.