10 October 2026, 20:00 UTC

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes La Plata Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades, Santiago del Estero
Referee: A. Gariano
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Central Cordoba de Santiago 2-2 Estudiantes La Plata.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% Central Cordoba de Santiago, 33% draw, 39% Estudiantes La Plata — fair odds of 3.57, 3.03 and 2.56.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Estudiantes La Plata at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Central Cordoba de Santiago3%Draw95%Estudiantes La Plata2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Alejandro Maciel
10'
13'
Santiago Arzamendia
22'
⚽Miguel Monsalveassist: Fabricio Pérez
⚽Leonardo Sequeiraassist: Diego Barrera
37'
⚽Michael Santosassist: Marco Iacobellis
38'
45+2'
Alexander Medina
45+2'
•Edwuin Cetre
45+5'
⚽Edwuin Cetre (pen)
45'
🔁Santiago Arzamendiaout: Eros Nazareno Mancuso
56'
🔁Fabricio Pérezout: Tiago Palacios
57'
🔁Alexis Castroout: Baltasar Gallego Rodriguez
🔁Matías Veraout: Enzo Tiziano Ramirez Suarez
67'
70'
🔁Miguel Monsalveout: Joaquín Tobio Burgos
🔁Leonardo Sequeiraout: Horacio Tijanovich
71'
🔁Michael Santosout: Martín Francisco Cuitiño
72'
87'
🔁Tiago Tomas Palaciosout: Lucas Alario
🔁Lucas Gonzálezout: Yuri Casermeiro
88'

Match stats — Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes La Plata

41%Possession59%
22Shots15
8On target6
8Corners2
3.01xG2.47

Goals against chances

Central Cordoba de Santiago2 from 3.01 xGless than the chances were worth
Estudiantes La Plata2 from 2.47 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Central Cordoba de Santiago 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. AguerreG
  • 20F. MartínezD
  • 21F. AguilarD
  • 2A. MacielD
  • 23D. CáceresD
  • 22M. VeraM
  • 18L. GonzálezM
  • 28L. SequeiraM
  • 10M. IacobellisM
  • 7D. BarreraM
  • 27M. SantosF
Substitutes
  • 47M. CuitinoF
  • 17Y. CasermeiroD
  • 32N. GarridoD
  • 13J. GómezD
  • 44Kevin Jacobo Adrián IbañezF
  • 3L. MarchiD
  • 41Enzo Tiziano Ramirez SuarezD
  • 43Ignacio Nahuel SantillanF
  • 11H. TijanovichF
Coach: S. Domínguez
Estudiantes La Plata 4-2-3-1
  • 1F. IacovichG
  • 15S. ArzamendiaD
  • 14L. GonzálezD
  • 26R. Funes MoriD
  • 24T. PalaciosD
  • 52B. KociubinskiM
  • 22A. CastroM
  • 29F. Pérez EscuderoM
  • 34M. MonsalveM
  • 18E. CetréM
  • 19A. GaichF
Substitutes
  • 27L. AlarioF
  • 53Leandro Luciano Alcaraz TorresM
  • 13G. BenedettiD
  • 12R. BorzoneG
  • 31B. GallegoM
  • 40E. MancusoD
  • 4S. NúñezD
  • 10T. PalaciosM
  • 21Lucas Ezequiel PioviM
Coach: Alexander Medina

Form going into Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes La Plata

Central Cordoba de Santiago

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Deportivo Riestra5 October 2026
  • D2-2Defensa Y Justicia18 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Boca Juniors12 September 2026
  • L0-1Independiente6 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Talleres Cordoba30 August 2026

Estudiantes La Plata

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0Gimnasia Mendoza5 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Lanus22 September 2026
  • W2-1Platense12 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Velez Sarsfield6 September 2026
  • D0-0Newell's Old Boys31 August 2026

What these results say

  • Central Cordoba de Santiago did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Central Cordoba de Santiago conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Central Cordoba de Santiago162591226-1411
12Estudiantes La Plata164482122-116

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes La Plata

  • 23 March 2026Estudiantes La Plata 5–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 30 November 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–1 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 30 August 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–0 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 21 February 2025Estudiantes La Plata 3–2 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 10 November 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–1 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina

The full Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes La Plata record →

Leading scorers: Central Cordoba de Santiago and Estudiantes La Plata

Central Cordoba de Santiago

GoalsAssists

  • M. Santos92

Estudiantes La Plata

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 21 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Central Cordoba de Santiago and Estudiantes La Plata drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Estudiantes La Plata at 39% and given a draw 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Miguel Monsalve 22' for Estudiantes La Plata, Leonardo Sequeira 37' for Central Cordoba de Santiago, Michael Santos 38' for Central Cordoba de Santiago, Edwuin Cetre (penalty) 45+5' for Estudiantes La Plata. Sent off: Alexander Medina (Estudiantes La Plata) 45+2'. On expected goals it finished 3.01–2.47.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Central Cordoba de Santiago a 69.9% chance to finish in the bottom three: 51.1% after a win, 72.0% after a draw, 81.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 72.0%, 2.1 points higher than before the match.

For Estudiantes La Plata the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three: under 1% after a win, 3.8% after a draw, 9.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 3.8%.

Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Central Cordoba de Santiago v Estudiantes La Plata has moved

First published on 27 Sep at 31% / 33% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 28% / 33% / 39%: the biggest move is Central Cordoba de Santiago's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Central Cordoba de Santiago win28%▼ −3
  2. Draw33%=
  3. Estudiantes La Plata win39%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.