10 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

Barracas Central vs Huracan Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Claudio Fabian Tapia, Barracas
Referee: H. Mastrangelo
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Barracas Central 2-0 Huracan.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Barracas Central, 36% draw, 31% Huracan — fair odds of 3.03, 2.78 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 0-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

the draw at 36%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Barracas Central99%Draw1%Huracan0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Norberto Briascoassist: Kevin Jappert
9'
Rodrigo Bogarin
12'
43'
Cesar Ibañez
58'
🔁Juan Francisco Bisanzout: Thaiel Peralta
58'
🔁Facundo Kalinger di Napoliout: Ignacio Pussetto
⚽Norberto Briasco
62'
63'
Fabio Pereyra
🔁Rodrigo Bogarinout: Esteban Rolón
72'
🔁Norberto Briascoout: Tomás Lavezzi
72'
77'
🔁Oscar Cortesout: Bruno Barticciotto
78'
🔁Facundo Wallerout: Leonardo Gil
🔁Kevin Jappertout: Rafael Barrios
82'
🔁Nicolas Orsiniout: Facundo Bruera
87'
🔁Elías Pereyraout: Rodrigo Insua
87'
87'
🔁Cesar Ibañezout: Leandro Lescano
90+5'
Diego Hernán Martínez

Match stats — Barracas Central vs Huracan

42%Possession58%
12Shots8
3On target0
6Corners5
1.33xG0.37

Goals against chances

Barracas Central2 from 1.33 xGmore than the chances were worth
Huracan0 from 0.37 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Barracas Central 4-3-3
  • 30M. MiñoG
  • 14K. JappertD
  • 15Y. RakD
  • 31N. DemartiniD
  • 17E. PereyraD
  • 28R. BogarínM
  • 5D. MilocM
  • 10I. TapiaM
  • 11N. BriascoF
  • 34N. OrsiniF
  • 24Enzo TabordaF
Substitutes
  • 1J. EspínolaG
  • 2N. CapraroD
  • 22Valentino GandínF
  • 13R. BarriosD
  • 16Ivan GuarazM
  • 6R. InsúaD
  • 36Tomas LavezziF
  • 33G. MaroniM
  • 23W. RiveraF
Coach: D. Ayude
Huracan 4-2-3-1
  • 1H. GalíndezG
  • 2L. BlondelD
  • 6F. PereyraD
  • 35Máximo PalazzoD
  • 25C. IbáñezD
  • 5R. FernándezM
  • 15F. WallerM
  • 7Ó. CortésM
  • 24F. KalingerM
  • 17F. BisanzM
  • 9J. CaicedoF
Substitutes
  • 8L. GilM
  • 19L. LescanoD
  • 32S. MezaG
  • 41L. MoraF
  • 21M. NervoD
  • 20E. OjedaM
  • 11T. PeraltaM
  • 23I. PussettoF
  • 10Ó. RomeroM
Coach: Diego Martinez

Form going into Barracas Central vs Huracan

Barracas Central

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2away to Atletico Tucuman3 October 2026
  • L0-1Independiente Rivadavia21 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Banfield14 September 2026
  • D0-0Argentinos Juniors7 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Tigre1 September 2026

Huracan

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Aldosivi4 October 2026
  • W2-1away to River Plate19 September 2026
  • W2-1Racing Club14 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Belgrano Cordoba4 September 2026
  • D1-1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto29 August 2026

What these results say

  • Barracas Central failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Barracas Central had two goals or fewer.
  • Huracan went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Huracan scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Huracan conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Barracas Central167541713+426
8Huracan166461416-222

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Barracas Central vs Huracan

  • 3 June 2026Barracas Central 1–0 HuracanCopa Argentina
  • 24 March 2026Huracan 0–0 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 17 November 2025Barracas Central 1–1 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 4 May 2025Huracan 0–1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 4 June 2024Barracas Central 0–2 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina

The full Barracas Central vs Huracan record →

Leading scorers: Barracas Central and Huracan

Barracas Central

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Huracan

GoalsAssists

  • J. Caicedo140

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Barracas Central beat Huracan 2–0. The model had leaned towards a draw at 36% and given a win for Barracas Central 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Norberto Briasco 9' for Barracas Central, Norberto Briasco 62' for Barracas Central. On expected goals it finished 1.33–0.37.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Barracas Central a 8.5% chance to finish in the top four: 16.4% after a win, 5.6% after a draw, 1.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 16.4%, 7.9 points higher than before the match.

For Huracan the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 45.0% going in: 64.9% after a win, 42.3% after a draw, 28.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 28.9%, 16.1 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.